Sleepers & Fades
Sleepers — 24-and-under skaters the model projects to take a step forward, the players worth reaching a round early for. Fades — productive veterans (30+) projected to slip, the names to let a leaguemate overpay for. ← Fantasy Guide
Scored for Norfolk in Chance — a banger-league riser is a different player than a points-league one.
📈 Sleepers · young risers
| Player | Pos | Tm | Age | Per-game change in your league's categories | Δ P/gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | R | ANA | 20 | G 0.28→0.39A 0.45→0.56PIM 0.76→0.7 | +0.22 |
| Ivan Demidov | R | MTL | 20 | G 0.23→0.29A 0.52→0.65PIM 0.41→0.43 | +0.19 |
| Matthew Schaefer | D | NYI | 19 | G 0.28→0.3A 0.44→0.56PIM 0.46→0.49 | +0.14 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | R | STL | 22 | G 0.3→0.36A 0.43→0.52PIM 0.26→0.3 | +0.15 |
| Ben Kindel | C | PIT | 19 | G 0.22→0.28A 0.23→0.3PIM 0.23→0.29 | +0.13 |
| Macklin Celebrini | C | SJS | 20 | G 0.55→0.55A 0.85→0.96PIM 0.54→0.51 | +0.11 |
| Connor Bedard | C | CHI | 21 | G 0.43→0.45A 0.65→0.75PIM 0.72→0.72 | +0.11 |
| Matvei Gridin | R | CGY | 20 | G 0.16→0.19A 0.38→0.39PIM 0.05→0.22 | +0.03 |
| Matvei Michkov | R | PHI | 21 | G 0.25→0.31A 0.38→0.48PIM 0.88→0.76 | +0.15 |
| Dylan Guenther | R | UTA | 23 | G 0.51→0.5A 0.42→0.5PIM 0.35→0.37 | +0.07 |
| Lane Hutson | D | MTL | 22 | G 0.15→0.14A 0.8→0.92PIM 0.41→0.43 | +0.12 |
| Mason McTavish | C | STL | 23 | G 0.23→0.28A 0.32→0.38PIM 0.56→0.59 | +0.11 |
| Marco Kasper | C | DET | 22 | G 0.11→0.18A 0.12→0.17PIM 0.41→0.42 | +0.12 |
| Cole Sillinger | C | CBJ | 23 | G 0.1→0.16A 0.31→0.33PIM 0.46→0.48 | +0.08 |
| Logan Cooley | C | UTA | 22 | G 0.44→0.41A 0.35→0.48PIM 0.52→0.51 | +0.08 |
| Ryan Leonard | R | WSH | 21 | G 0.27→0.3A 0.33→0.39PIM 0.63→0.62 | +0.08 |
| Will Smith | C | SJS | 21 | G 0.35→0.35A 0.51→0.55PIM 0.23→0.27 | +0.05 |
| Matthew Knies | L | TOR | 24 | G 0.29→0.32A 0.54→0.53PIM 0.37→0.43 | +0.01 |
📉 Fades · aging producers projected to slip
| Player | Pos | Tm | Age | Per-game change in your league's categories | Δ P/gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh | D | TOR | 30 | G 0.3→0.19A 0.66→0.57PIM 0.99→0.69 | -0.20 |
| Scott Sabourin | R | TBL | 34 | G 0.04→0.02A 0.15→0.04PIM 3.42→2.58 | -0.13 |
| Sean Walker | D | CAR | 31 | G 0.11→0.09A 0.27→0.21PIM 0.73→0.66 | -0.08 |
| Vincent Desharnais | D | WSH | 30 | G 0.02→0.01A 0.11→0.04PIM 1.28→1.04 | -0.09 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | L | SJS | 31 | G 0.32→0.25A 0.18→0.2PIM 0.69→0.61 | -0.05 |
| Connor Clifton | D | BOS | 31 | G 0.04→0.01A 0.08→0.05PIM 1.06→0.89 | -0.05 |
| Mika Zibanejad | C | NYR | 33 | G 0.42→0.35A 0.54→0.55PIM 0.17→0.22 | -0.07 |
| Brock Nelson | C | COL | 35 | G 0.41→0.35A 0.4→0.39PIM 0.44→0.37 | -0.07 |
| Bobby McMann | C | SEA | 30 | G 0.37→0.27A 0.22→0.2PIM 0.54→0.51 | -0.11 |
| Steven Stamkos | C | NSH | 36 | G 0.51→0.4A 0.29→0.32PIM 0.71→0.63 | -0.08 |
| Ross Johnston | L | STL | 32 | G 0.05→0.03A 0.18→0.07PIM 1.73→1.6 | -0.13 |
| Bo Horvat | C | NYI | 31 | G 0.46→0.42A 0.38→0.39PIM 0.59→0.45 | -0.03 |
| Jordan Staal | C | CAR | 38 | G 0.27→0.2A 0.21→0.22PIM 0.39→0.35 | -0.07 |
| Kyle Palmieri | C | NYI | 35 | G 0.24→0.29A 0.48→0.35PIM 0.32→0.29 | -0.08 |
| Dmitry Orlov | D | SJS | 35 | G 0.04→0.05A 0.41→0.34PIM 0.59→0.49 | -0.05 |
| Corey Perry | R | LAK | 41 | G 0.24→0.21A 0.28→0.22PIM 1.12→1 | -0.08 |
| Justin Faulk | D | DET | 34 | G 0.21→0.12A 0.31→0.31PIM 0.54→0.49 | -0.08 |
| Anthony Mantha | R | NJD | 32 | G 0.41→0.31A 0.38→0.36PIM 0.53→0.52 | -0.12 |
Δ P/gm compares projected points-per-game to actual 2025-26 (min 20 GP). Signals only — a fade isn't a "don't draft," it's a "don't pay last year's price."