Sleepers & Fades
Sleepers — 24-and-under skaters the model projects to take a step forward, the players worth reaching a round early for. Fades — productive veterans (30+) projected to slip, the names to let a leaguemate overpay for. ← Fantasy Guide
Scored for Points-only — a banger-league riser is a different player than a points-league one.
📈 Sleepers · young risers
| Player | Pos | Tm | Age | Per-game change in your league's categories | Δ P/gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | R | ANA | 20 | G 0.28→0.39A 0.45→0.56 | +0.22 |
| Ivan Demidov | R | MTL | 20 | G 0.23→0.29A 0.52→0.65 | +0.19 |
| Kent Johnson | C | CBJ | 24 | G 0.09→0.19A 0.2→0.28 | +0.18 |
| Matvei Michkov | R | PHI | 21 | G 0.25→0.31A 0.38→0.48 | +0.15 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | R | STL | 22 | G 0.3→0.36A 0.43→0.52 | +0.15 |
| Braeden Bowman | R | VGK | 23 | G 0.15→0.24A 0.33→0.38 | +0.14 |
| Matthew Schaefer | D | NYI | 19 | G 0.28→0.3A 0.44→0.56 | +0.14 |
| Ben Kindel | C | PIT | 19 | G 0.22→0.28A 0.23→0.3 | +0.13 |
| Adam Fantilli | C | CBJ | 22 | G 0.29→0.38A 0.43→0.46 | +0.12 |
| Luke Hughes | D | NJD | 23 | G 0.09→0.12A 0.43→0.51 | +0.12 |
| Emmitt Finnie | C | DET | 21 | G 0.16→0.22A 0.21→0.26 | +0.11 |
| Lane Hutson | D | MTL | 22 | G 0.15→0.14A 0.8→0.92 | +0.12 |
| Shane Wright | C | SEA | 22 | G 0.16→0.22A 0.2→0.26 | +0.12 |
| William Eklund | L | OTT | 24 | G 0.19→0.25A 0.49→0.54 | +0.12 |
| Leo Carlsson | C | ANA | 21 | G 0.41→0.45A 0.54→0.62 | +0.11 |
| Macklin Celebrini | C | SJS | 20 | G 0.55→0.55A 0.85→0.96 | +0.11 |
| Connor Bedard | C | CHI | 21 | G 0.43→0.45A 0.65→0.75 | +0.11 |
| Mason McTavish | C | STL | 23 | G 0.23→0.28A 0.32→0.38 | +0.11 |
📉 Fades · aging producers projected to slip
| Player | Pos | Tm | Age | Per-game change in your league's categories | Δ P/gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh | D | TOR | 30 | G 0.3→0.19A 0.66→0.57 | -0.20 |
| Teddy Blueger | C | TOR | 32 | G 0.26→0.12A 0.23→0.19 | -0.18 |
| Brad Marchand | L | FLA | 38 | G 0.52→0.39A 0.52→0.5 | -0.15 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | L | DET | 33 | G 0.36→0.29A 0.42→0.35 | -0.13 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | D | CAR | 33 | G 0.24→0.17A 0.67→0.61 | -0.14 |
| Anthony Mantha | R | NJD | 32 | G 0.41→0.31A 0.38→0.36 | -0.12 |
| Alexander Wennberg | C | SJS | 32 | G 0.23→0.17A 0.46→0.4 | -0.12 |
| Bobby McMann | C | SEA | 30 | G 0.37→0.27A 0.22→0.2 | -0.11 |
| Connor Brown | R | NJD | 32 | G 0.24→0.19A 0.33→0.27 | -0.11 |
| John Carlson | D | TBL | 36 | G 0.2→0.14A 0.65→0.6 | -0.11 |
| Charlie Coyle | C | CBJ | 34 | G 0.24→0.23A 0.46→0.38 | -0.10 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | D | TOR | 35 | G 0.1→0.07A 0.4→0.34 | -0.09 |
| Mark Stone | R | VGK | 34 | G 0.47→0.38A 0.75→0.74 | -0.09 |
| Mark Scheifele | C | WPG | 33 | G 0.44→0.42A 0.82→0.75 | -0.09 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | L | CHI | 31 | G 0.41→0.33A 0.33→0.31 | -0.08 |
| Justin Faulk | D | DET | 34 | G 0.21→0.12A 0.31→0.31 | -0.08 |
| Zach Hyman | L | EDM | 34 | G 0.53→0.48A 0.36→0.33 | -0.09 |
| Corey Perry | R | LAK | 41 | G 0.24→0.21A 0.28→0.22 | -0.08 |
Δ P/gm compares projected points-per-game to actual 2025-26 (min 20 GP). Signals only — a fade isn't a "don't draft," it's a "don't pay last year's price."