Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
14	Carter Yakemchuk	D	AHLPRO	20.9	OTT	24′ #7	0.74	26.7	62%	1.9y @22.8	132652	24.9
36	Alberts Smits	D	LIIGAPRO	18.7	NYR	26′ #5	0.34	15.1	62%	3.9y @22.6	112245	21.9
43	Malte Gustafsson	D	SHLPRO	18.2	NYI	26′ #13	0.11	5.4	60%	4.2y @22.4	112245	21.4
44	Juho Piiparinen	D	LIIGAPRO	18	VGK	26′ #29	0.1	4.6	60%	4.6y @22.6	112243	21.3
45	Adam Goljer	D	SLOVAKIAPRO	18.2	LAK*	26′ #49	0.26	7.3	60%	4.4y @22.6	112243	21.3
54	Oliver Bonk	D	AHLPRO	21.6	PHI	23′ #22	0.41	14.9	60%	1.2y @22.8	82244	20.8
59	Stian Solberg	D	AHLPRO	20.6	ANA	24′ #23	0.34	12.2	60%	2.1y @22.7	101942	20.1
61	Anton Silayev	D	KHLPRO	20.4	NJD	24′ #10	0.05	3.1	57%	2.4y @22.8	101942	20
62	Nikita Shcherbakov	D	VHLPRO	18.8	NJD*	26′ #44	0.29	7	57%	3.9y @22.7	101942	20
63	Leo Sahlin Wallenius	D	SHLPRO	20.4	SJS*	24′ #53	0.41	19.7	55%	2.2y @22.6	111934	19.8
65	Tanner Molendyk	D	AHLPRO	21.5	NSH*	23′ #24	0.38	13.8	55%	1.3y @22.8	01844	19.6
66	Alfons Freij	D	SHLPRO	20.5	WPG*	24′ #37	0.26	12.7	55%	2.1y @22.6	01843	19.6
69	Sam Rinzel	D	AHLPRO	22.2	CHI	22′ #25	0.61	22	45%	1y @23.2	01645	19.2
70	David Reinbacher	D	AHLPRO	21.8	MTL	23′ #5	0.42	15.2	53%	1y @22.8	01842	18.9
71	Dominik Badinka	D	AHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #34	0.21	7.4	57%	2y @22.7	01834	18.6
72	Dmitri Simashev	D	AHLPRO	21.5	UTA	—	0.88	31.6	47%	2.4y @23.9	01352	18.6
73	William Hakansson	D	SHLPRO	18.9	CAR*	26′ #51	0.09	4.4	55%	3.5y @22.4	01834	18.5
76	Kevin Korchinski	D	AHLPRO	22.2	CHI	22′ #7	0.49	17.7	45%	0.6y @22.8	01642	18
78	Paul Fischer	D	NCAAPRO	21.6	STL*	23′ #138	0.7	23.4	45%	1.7y @23.3	01344	17.4
79	George Fegaras	D	NCAAPRO	22.3	DAL*	22′ #83	0.62	20.8	38%	1.8y @24.1	01352	17.3
80	Luca Cagnoni	D	AHLPRO	21.7	SJS*	23′ #123	0.64	23.2	45%	1.6y @23.3	01344	17.3
82	Tyson Jugnauth	D	AHLPRO	22.3	SEA*	22′ #100	0.62	22.6	40%	1.7y @24	01344	17.2
84	Ty Nelson	D	AHLPRO	22.4	SEA*	22′ #68	0.56	20	35%	1.4y @23.8	01352	17.1
85	Lasse Boelius	D	LIIGAPRO	19.4	ANA*	25′ #60	0.2	8.9	53%	3.1y @22.5	01832	17.1
86	Leon Muggli	D	AHLPRO	20.1	WSH*	24′ #52	0.26	9.4	53%	2.4y @22.5	01832	17
88	Eric Pohlkamp	D	NCAAPRO	22.4	SJS*	23′ #132	0.91	30.5	40%	1.7y @24.1	01344	16.9
89	Francesco Dell'Elce	D	NCAAPRO	21.2	COL*	25′ #77	0.58	19.6	45%	1.5y @22.7	01343	16.8
91	Kasper Kulonummi	D	LIIGAPRO	22.5	NSH*	22′ #84	0.5	22.1	38%	1.6y @24.1	01344	16.6
92	Maxim Strbak	D	NCAAPRO	21.4	BUF*	23′ #45	0.49	16.4	47%	1.4y @22.8	01344	16.5
98	Gavin McCarthy	D	NCAAPRO	21.2	BUF*	23′ #86	0.58	19.6	42%	1.5y @22.7	01143	16
99	Anton Johansson	D	SHLPRO	22.2	DET*	22′ #105	0.4	19.6	38%	1.8y @24	01344	15.9
100	Chase Cheslock	D	NCAAPRO	21.8	NJD*	23′ #154	0.63	21.2	40%	1.7y @23.5	01143	15.8
103	Rodwin Dionicio	D	NLPRO	22.4	ANA*	23′ #129	0.55	24.9	38%	1.7y @24.1	01341	15.8
106	Daniil Orlov	D	KHLPRO	22.7	NJD*	22′ #110	0.42	26.8	40%	1.4y @24.1	01341	15.6
107	Luca Marrelli	D	AHLPRO	20.9	CBJ*	24′ #86	0.5	18	45%	1.6y @22.5	01331	15.3
108	Theodor Hallquisth	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	MIN*	25′ #52	0.1	3.1	50%	3.4y @22.6	01631	15.3
116	Aron Kiviharju	D	LIIGAPRO	20.6	MIN*	24′ #122	0.35	15.7	45%	1.8y @22.4	01331	15
118	Theo Lindstein	D	AHLPRO	21.6	STL*	23′ #29	0.24	8.6	50%	1.2y @22.8	01432	14.8
119	Artem Duda	D	AHLPRO	22.4	ARI*	22′ #36	0.48	17.4	33%	1.1y @23.5	01332	14.7
122	Viggo Gustafsson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.9	NSH*	24′ #77	0.2	6.2	47%	2.8y @22.7	01431	14.7
124	Mikhail Gulyayev	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL	23′ #31	0.06	3.5	50%	1.5y @22.8	01331	14.4
125	Ludvig Johnson	D	NLPRO	20.1	UTA*	25′ #174	0.3	13.6	42%	2.4y @22.5	01129	14.4
128	Noel Fransén	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #69	0.37	11.5	45%	1.5y @22.2	01331	14.2
129	Tristan Bertucci	D	AHLPRO	21.1	DAL*	23′ #61	0.38	13.7	45%	1.7y @22.8	01329	14
133	Owen Pickering	D	AHLPRO	22.6	PIT*	22′ #21	0.41	14.9	35%	0.7y @23.3	01132	13.8
135	Alexander Siryatsky	D	KHLPRO	20	CAR*	24′ #124	0.14	8.5	42%	2.3y @22.3	01129	13.8
136	Tomas Kralovic	D	SLOVAKIAPRO	21	TBL*	26′ #90	0.6	17.1	40%	1.5y @22.5	01131	13.8
137	Drew Fortescue	D	NCAAPRO	21.3	NYR	23′ #90	0.39	13.1	38%	1.4y @22.7	01132	13.7
138	Justin Kipkie	D	NCAAPRO	21.1	MIN*	25′ #141	0.37	12.5	35%	1.6y @22.7	0743	13.7
139	Karl Annborn	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.5	SEA*	25′ #205	0.38	11.8	40%	2.9y @22.4	01129	13.7
140	Yaroslav Fedoseyev	D	VHLPRO	18.8	TOR*	26′ #161	0.24	5.9	42%	3.7y @22.5	01129	13.7
141	Zachary Sharp	D	NCAAPRO	21.4	SJS*	25′ #124	0.51	17.3	38%	2.1y @23.5	01131	13.6
143	Larry Keenan	D	NCAAPRO	21.4	DET*	23′ #117	0.53	17.7	38%	1.4y @22.8	01131	13.4
144	Ivan Patrikhayev	D	KHLPRO	20.5	NYR*	26′ #193	0.2	12.4	35%	2.2y @22.7	0731	13.4
145	Tristan Luneau	D	AHLPRO	22.6	ANA*	22′ #53	0.59	21.1	28%	1.3y @23.9	0041	13.3
146	Victor Johansson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.3	TOR*	24′ #120	0.45	14.2	38%	2y @22.3	01129	13.3
147	Caden Price	D	AHLPRO	21	SEA*	23′ #84	0.26	9.4	42%	1.7y @22.7	01129	13.1
151	Sawyer Mynio	D	AHLPRO	21.3	VAN*	23′ #89	0.36	13.1	35%	1.2y @22.5	01129	12.9
154	Alexander Ivanov	D	VHLPRO	18.2	CHI*	26′ #194	0.08	2	42%	4.3y @22.5	01129	12.9
155	Garrett Brown	D	NCAAPRO	22.4	WPG*	22′ #99	0.41	13.8	40%	2.4y @24.8	01127	12.8
158	Hoyt Stanley	D	NCAAPRO	21.5	OTT*	23′ #108	0.44	14.8	33%	2y @23.5	0731	12.8
163	Sebastian Soini	D	LIIGAPRO	20.2	MIN*	24′ #140	0.17	7.7	40%	2.2y @22.4	01029	12.7
164	Adam Engström	D	AHLPRO	22.8	MTL	—	0.76	27.3	35%	1.4y @24.2	0037	12.6
165	Seamus Casey	D	AHLPRO	22.6	NJD*	22′ #46	0.66	23.6	25%	1.2y @23.8	0041	12.5
167	Isaiah George	D	AHLPRO	22.5	NYI*	22′ #98	0.38	13.8	38%	2y @24.5	0727	12.3
168	Andrew Gibson	D	AHLPRO	21.5	DET*	23′ #42	0.18	6.6	45%	1.3y @22.8	01129	12.3
169	Maxim Agafonov	D	VHLPRO	19.4	SEA*	25′ #134	0.18	4.4	40%	3y @22.4	01129	12.3
171	Brady Cleveland	D	NCAAPRO	21.4	DET*	23′ #47	0.05	1.7	40%	1.4y @22.8	01129	12.2
173	Elias Salomonsson	D	AHLPRO	22	WPG	22′ #55	0.31	11.2	40%	1.3y @23.3	0729	12.1
175	Frederic Brunet	D	AHLPRO	23	BOS*	22′ #132	0.55	20	33%	1.2y @24.2	0037	11.9
183	Noah Warren	D	AHLPRO	22.1	ANA	22′ #42	0.2	7.1	40%	0.7y @22.8	0029	11.8
184	Etienne Morin	D	AHLPRO	21.4	CGY*	23′ #48	0.17	6	42%	1.4y @22.8	01029	11.8
185	Ryan Ufko	D	AHLPRO	23.3	NSH*	21′ #115	0.85	30.5	28%	0.7y @24	0037	11.7
186	Matthew Morden	D	NCAAPRO	22.1	ARI*	22′ #131	0.59	19.8	33%	2y @24.1	01127	11.7
187	Hunter Brzustewicz	D	AHLPRO	21.7	CGY	23′ #75	0.38	13.8	33%	1.1y @22.8	0032	11.7
197	Jorian Donovan	D	AHLPRO	22.4	OTT*	22′ #136	0.34	12.4	38%	2.1y @24.5	0029	11.3
198	Christian Kyrou	D	AHLPRO	22.9	DAL*	22′ #50	0.54	19.5	23%	1.2y @24.1	0027	11.3
203	Vladislav Lukashevich	D	NCAAPRO	23.2	FLA*	21′ #120	0.64	21.4	33%	1.2y @24.4	0036	11.2
204	Arseni Koromyslov	D	KHLPRO	22.8	STL*	22′ #120	0.28	17.6	35%	2y @24.8	0029	11.2
205	Lukas Dragicevic	D	AHLPRO	21.3	SEA*	23′ #57	0.26	9.2	38%	1.5y @22.8	0729	11.2
218	Jesse Pulkkinen	D	AHLPRO	21.6	NYI*	24′ #54	0.1	3.6	33%	1.2y @22.8	0429	11
220	Bogdan Konyushkov	D	KHLPRO	23.7	MTL*	23′ #110	0.57	35.8	25%	now @23.9	0037	11
222	Beau Akey	D	AHLPRO	21.5	EDM*	23′ #56	0.24	8.6	40%	1.3y @22.8	0429	10.8
229	Quinton Burns	D	AHLPRO	21.3	STL*	23′ #74	0.16	5.8	35%	1.5y @22.8	0029	10.7
231	Matvei Shuravin	D	KHLPRO	20.4	FLA*	24′ #97	0.05	3	40%	2.4y @22.8	0727	10.7
232	Jorian Donovan	D	AHLPRO	22.3	OTT*	22′ #136	0.34	12.4	35%	1.9y @24.2	0026	10.6
243	Abram Wiebe	D	NCAAPRO	23	CGY	—	0.72	24.4	30%	1.2y @24.2	0031	10.4
244	Gregor Biber	D	SHLPRO	20	UTA*	24′ #98	0.05	2.5	38%	2.5y @22.5	0429	10.4
246	Ryan Chesley	D	AHLPRO	22.5	WSH*	22′ #37	0.25	9	30%	0.8y @23.3	0027	10.3
247	Simon Forsmark	D	SHLPRO	22.8	CAR*	22′ #101	0.27	13.3	30%	2.1y @24.9	0027	10.3
251	Ludvig Jansson	D	AHLPRO	22.6	FLA*	22′ #125	0.35	12.8	30%	2.3y @24.9	0027	10.2
254	Aram Minnetian	D	NCAAPRO	21.4	DAL*	23′ #125	0.31	10.3	30%	2.5y @23.9	0426	10.2
255	Ryan Healey	D	NCAAPRO	22.3	MIN*	22′ #121	0.35	11.9	33%	2.7y @25	0026	10.1
257	Eric Jamieson	D	NCAAPRO	21.1	CGY*	24′ #177	0.42	14.1	28%	2.3y @23.4	0026	10.1
267	Angus Booth	D	AHLPRO	22.3	LAK*	22′ #116	0.3	10.6	33%	2.3y @24.6	0026	9.8
268	Étienne Morin	D	AHLPRO	21.4	—	—	0.17	6	25%	3.2y @24.6	0026	9.8
271	Kalem Parker	D	NCAAPRO	21.9	MIN*	23′ #181	0.33	11.2	28%	2.7y @24.6	0026	9.8
272	Patrick Geary	D	NCAAPRO	22.5	BUF*	24′ #172	0.31	10.6	30%	2.4y @24.9	0029	9.8
273	Rasmus Bergqvist	D	SHLPRO	21.2	MTL*	24′ #224	0.1	4.8	28%	2.9y @24.1	0026	9.8
274	David Jiříček	D	AHLPRO	22.7	PHI	—	0.52	18.9	33%	1.8y @24.5	0029	9.7

Who each prospect looks like

14. Carter Yakemchuk62% NHL · 1.9y

Julius Honka 14′#14	never stuck	87 GP
Tony DeAngelo 14′#19	65 pk	482 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Haydn Fleury 14′#7	26 pk	345 GP
Olli Juolevi 16′#5	never stuck	41 GP

36. Alberts Smits62% NHL · 3.9y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Jakub Zboril 15′#13	never stuck	76 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP

43. Malte Gustafsson60% NHL · 4.2y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

44. Juho Piiparinen60% NHL · 4.6y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

45. Adam Goljer60% NHL · 4.4y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP

54. Oliver Bonk60% NHL · 1.2y

Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Pierre-Olivier Joseph 17′#23	23 pk	225 GP
Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP
Travis Sanheim 14′#17	45 pk	660 GP

59. Stian Solberg60% NHL · 2.1y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

61. Anton Silayev57% NHL · 2.4y

Jakub Zboril 15′#13	never stuck	76 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Haydn Fleury 14′#7	26 pk	345 GP

62. Nikita Shcherbakov57% NHL · 3.9y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP

63. Leo Sahlin Wallenius55% NHL · 2.2y

Filip Hronek 16′#53	52 pk	533 GP
Vince Dunn 15′#56	65 pk	623 GP
Kale Clague 16′#51	never stuck	94 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Joey Keane 18′#88	never stuck	2 GP

65. Tanner Molendyk55% NHL · 1.3y

Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Pierre-Olivier Joseph 17′#23	23 pk	225 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Josh Jacobs 14′#41	never stuck	3 GP

66. Alfons Freij55% NHL · 2.1y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP