If called up: our NHL projection gives him 5 games this season (0.8 goals, 0.9 assists).
Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.
Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NCAA, 43 GP, 0.37 NHL-equivalent at 21.5, after 0.33 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, league level. Then their NHL careers.
| Player | Drafted | Ht | At his age | GP | P | NHLe | NHL GP | NHL P | P/GP | Best NHL season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Hults D | #134, 2017 | 6'0" | 19-20 NCAA | 34 | 30 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | – | never played in the NHL |
| Will Butcher D | #123, 2013 | 5'9" | 16-17 NCAA | 43 | 37 | 0.35 | 275 | 114 | 0.41 | 44 P in 81 GP, 17-18 |
| Robbie Russo D | #95, 2011 | 5'11" | 14-15 NCAA | 40 | 41 | 0.42 | 19 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 P in 19 GP, 16-17 |
| Henry Thrun D | #101, 2019 | 6'2" | 22-23 NHL + NCAA | 41 | 33 | 0.36 | 123 | 25 | 0.20 | 12 P in 60 GP, 24-25 |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | #85, 2012 | 5'9" | 15-16 NCAA | 27 | 23 | 0.35 | 597 | 187 | 0.31 | 40 P in 82 GP, 24-25 |
2 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 1 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.
