Goalie Prospects

Their real numbers — save percentage, GAA, record — which this page never had: the source feed carried skater columns only, so a goalie showed up with “0 goals, 0 assists”. No ranking score, and the panel below explains why we refuse to invent one.

Rankings Goalies Scoring leaders

These are deliberately unranked. We backtested a goalie model on the 147 drafted goalies in the pool. It reaches r = 0.478 against real NHL workload — but the draft pick alone reaches 0.463. Every junior stat we can compute (save %, GAA, age) adds 0.015. A goalie score would be the draft order wearing a lab coat, so we don't publish one.

P(NHL) below is real and calibrated — of the goalies it put at 50–75%, 60% actually made it; of those at 0–25%, just 9% did. But be clear about where that signal comes from: where he was drafted, not how he has played. Sorted by P(NHL) — a presentation order, not a claim that we can rank them.

Goalie	League	Age	Org	Draft	GP	W–L	SV%	GAA	SO	P(NHL)	P(starter)	Starter in
Joshua Ravensbergen	WHL	19.7	SJS	25′ #30	46	32–13	.919	2.51	4	48%	44%	6.4y @26.1
Jacob Fowler	AHL	21.7	MTL	23′ #69	27	19–7	.916	2.23	3	44%	40%	4.2y @25.9
Sebastian Cossa	AHL	23.7	DET	21′ #15	39	26–8	.916	2.33	5	40%	36%	2.3y @26
Carter George	OHL	20.3	LAK	24′ #57	68	33–26	.904	2.85	5	36%	28%	6.2y @26.5
Danai Shaiikov	LHJMQ	19.4	NYR	26′ #67	50	18–26	.903	2.78	1	28%	20%	6.9y @26.3
Evan Gardner	WHL	20.6	CBJ	24′ #60	52	25–16	.902	2.96	3	28%	24%	6y @26.6
Sergei Murashov	AHL	22.4	PIT	22′ #118	38	24–9	.919	2.2	4	24%	24%	3.5y @25.9
Leevi Meriläinen	AHL	24	OTT	20′ #71	19	8–8	.909	2.77	2	24%	24%	2.4y @26.4
Gabriel D'Aigle	LHJMQ	19.7	PIT	25′ #84	39	14–21	.908	3.58	0	24%	16%	6.7y @26.4
Rudy Guimond	LHJMQ	21.3	DET	23′ #169	50	40–7	.922	2.27	3	20%	20%	4.5y @25.8
Carl Lindbom	AHL	23.3	VGK	21′ #222	35	24–5	.926	2.16	3	16%	16%	2.6y @25.9
Michal Orsulak	WHL	19	DET	26′ #79	36	28–4	.907	2.22	4	16%	8%	5.8y @24.8
Christian Kirsch	OHL	20.2	SJS	24′ #116	41	27–10	.899	2.42	4	16%	8%	5.8y @26
Arseni Radkov	LHJMQ	19	MTL	25′ #82	63	29–21	.891	3.29	0	16%	16%	7.4y @26.4
Carson Bjarnason	AHL	21.1	PHI	23′ #51	32	14–11	.877	3.43	0	16%	16%	5.3y @26.4
Ryder Fetterolf	OHL	18.6	CAR	26′ #125	41	29–9	.923	2.07	6	12%	8%	5.2y @23.8
Easton Rye	OHL	19.8	—	undrafted	57	38–16	.915	2.78	3	12%	8%	6.8y @26.6
Tobias Tvrznik	WHL	19.1	COL	26′ #126	39	16–18	.913	3.1	1	12%	4%	4.1y @23.2
Lucas Beckman	LHJMQ	19	OTT	25′ #97	61	21–29	.912	2.86	8	12%	8%	5.8y @24.8
Louis-Antoine Denault	LHJMQ	19.9	FLA	26′ #217	59	28–25	.912	2.7	0	12%	8%	6.7y @26.6
Samuel Meloche	LHJMQ	19.1	BUF	25′ #116	50	33–13	.897	2.75	3	12%	8%	6.1y @25.2
Burke Hood	WHL	19.3	NYI	25′ #170	42	18–18	.892	3.83	0	12%	12%	8.2y @27.5
Stepan Shurygin	OHL	19	TBL	26′ #186	59	24–27	.888	3.79	0	12%	12%	8.5y @27.5
Matthew Humphries	OHL	18.1	—	undrafted	26	4–17	.885	3.83	0	12%	12%	9.4y @27.5
Luke Johnson	OHL	17.3	CHI	13′ #134	22	1–13	.883	3.72	1	12%	8%	9.1y @26.4
Anthony Catanzariti	LHJMQ	18.6	—	undrafted	30	9–15	.875	4.61	0	12%	12%	8.9y @27.5
Koen Cleaver	WHL	19.4	—	undrafted	44	10–27	.867	4.74	1	12%	12%	8.1y @27.5
Kyle Jones	WHL	19.5	—	undrafted	29	7–12	.862	5.04	0	12%	12%	8y @27.5
David Egorov	OHL	20.3	—	undrafted	29	21–4	.920	2.49	4	8%	4%	5.5y @25.8
Ben Hrebik	OHL	20.4	—	undrafted	43	26–11	.920	2.82	0	8%	8%	6.2y @26.6
Connor Towle	LHJMQ	20.4	—	undrafted	29	12–8	.914	2.65	1	8%	8%	6.2y @26.6
Jack Lisson	OHL	20.4	—	undrafted	40	24–11	.913	2.59	1	8%	8%	6.2y @26.6
Kyan Labbé	LHJMQ	19.1	—	undrafted	45	27–14	.912	2.71	3	8%	4%	8.4y @27.5
Ryerson Leenders	OHL	20.2	BUF	24′ #219	39	27–5	.910	2.69	2	8%	8%	6.4y @26.6
Matthew Minchak	OHL	19.2	VGK	26′ #191	30	12–12	.910	2.92	1	8%	4%	8.3y @27.5
Anders Miller	WHL	19.9	—	undrafted	39	33–6	.909	2.46	4	8%	4%	7.6y @27.5
Mason Vaccari	OHL	21.3	—	undrafted	51	36–9	.907	2.7	4	8%	8%	5.3y @26.6
Andrew Reyelts	WHL	20.4	—	undrafted	43	29–6	.906	2.45	3	8%	8%	6.2y @26.6
Mathys Fernandez	LHJMQ	21.4	—	undrafted	42	21–12	.906	2.86	1	8%	8%	5.2y @26.6
Thomas Milic	AHL	23.4	WPG	23′ #151	41	20–13	.905	2.64	4	8%	8%	2.5y @25.9
Chase Wutzke	WHL	20.1	MIN	24′ #142	56	19–29	.902	3.24	2	8%	4%	7.4y @27.5
Marek Sklenicka	WHL	18	PHI	26′ #120	42	20–12	.902	3.21	3	8%	4%	10.5y @28.5
Nikke Kokko	AHL	22.4	—	undrafted	35	19–10	.901	3.13	2	8%	8%	4.2y @26.6
Trenten Bennett	OHL	20.4	NJD	25′ #99	27	9–10	.896	3.94	0	8%	8%	5y @25.4
Vladislav Yermolenko	OHL	18.7	—	undrafted	45	19–20	.896	3.5	1	8%	8%	9.3y @28
Mason Courville	OHL	16.8	—	undrafted	18	8–8	.893	3.05	1	8%	4%	11.7y @28.5
Matthew Kondro	WHL	18.7	—	undrafted	44	19–19	.892	3.49	1	8%	8%	9.3y @28
Zach Jovanovski	OHL	18.9	—	undrafted	52	25–20	.890	3.39	1	8%	8%	9.1y @28
Archer Cooke	WHL	19	—	undrafted	23	4–11	.889	3.69	0	8%	8%	9y @28
Carter Casey	WHL	18.7	—	undrafted	28	19–3	.882	3.02	2	8%	8%	9.3y @28
Cruz Chase	WHL	18.8	—	undrafted	19	5–9	.880	4.06	1	8%	8%	9.2y @28
Ryan Grout	WHL	19	—	undrafted	30	8–16	.879	3.99	0	8%	8%	9y @28
Dayton Kitchener	LHJMQ	18.9	—	undrafted	51	14–24	.878	3.76	0	8%	8%	9.1y @28
Antoine Proulx	LHJMQ	18.1	—	undrafted	26	14–9	.876	3.56	0	8%	8%	9.9y @28
Leif Oaten	WHL	16.9	—	undrafted	31	6–19	.876	4.23	1	8%	4%	11.6y @28.5
Vincent Moreau	LHJMQ	18.4	—	undrafted	22	5–8	.874	4.16	0	8%	8%	8y @26.4
Matthew Koprowski	OHL	19.5	—	undrafted	29	8–13	.872	4.26	1	8%	8%	8.5y @28
Aiden Eskit	WHL	18.5	—	undrafted	31	2–16	.872	4.88	0	8%	8%	7.9y @26.4
Aidan Hesse	WHL	18.5	—	undrafted	30	11–6	.867	3.57	0	8%	8%	9.5y @28
Matthew Hutchison	WHL	19.9	—	undrafted	29	12–15	.864	4.69	1	8%	8%	8.1y @28

“Starter in” is years to a 40+ game NHL season, not years to the NHL. A backup who plays 25 games has made it and will never hit 40 — for a goalie, workload is the fantasy asset, so that's the milestone worth timing. It runs long because goalies genuinely take that long.
Save % and GAA are derived from saves and goals-against, not from the feed's own rate columns — a goalie who played for two clubs has two rows, and the average of two save percentages is not his save percentage.