Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
94	Bradly Nadeau	F	AHLPRO	21.3	CAR*	23′ #30	1.08	38.9	68%	1.7y @23	183264	30.1
98	Charlie Cerrato	F	NCAAPRO	21.4	CAR	25′ #49	1.17	39.5	68%	1.6y @23	203153	30
155	Jayden Perron	F	NCAAPRO	21.6	CAR*	23′ #94	1.02	34.5	62%	1.4y @23	153149	28.1
280	Alexander Rykov	F	KHLPRO	21.1	CAR*	23′ #100	0.27	16.9	47%	1.7y @22.8	01858	23.5
290	Ivan Ryabkin	F	AHLPRO	19.3	CAR*	25′ #62	0.32	11.6	50%	3.1y @22.4	01861	22.9
410	Viggo Nordlund	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.9	CAR*	25′ #183	0.5	15.6	40%	2.8y @22.7	01255	19.9
462	Dominik Badinka	D	AHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #34	0.21	7.4	57%	2y @22.7	01834	18.6
468	William Hakansson	D	SHLPRO	18.9	CAR*	26′ #51	0.09	4.4	55%	3.5y @22.4	01834	18.5
549	Alexander Perevalov	F	VHLPRO	22.3	CAR*	22′ #71	0.59	14.4	38%	1.1y @23.4	01042	16.4
635	Timur Mukhanov	F	KHLPRO	21.2	CAR*	23′ #163	0.19	11.7	25%	1.6y @22.8	0055	14.9
668	Noel Fransén	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #69	0.37	11.5	45%	1.5y @22.2	01331	14.2
687	Alexander Siryatsky	D	KHLPRO	20	CAR*	24′ #124	0.14	8.5	42%	2.3y @22.3	01129	13.8
705	Stiven Sardarian	F	NCAAPRO	23.5	CAR	21′ #88	1.19	40	20%	1.1y @24.6	0039	13.3
720	Gleb Trikozov	F	AHLPRO	22	CAR*	22′ #60	0.24	8.6	33%	1.5y @23.5	0034	13.1
785	Justin Robidas	F	AHLPRO	23.4	CAR*	21′ #147	1.03	37.3	17%	1.1y @24.5	0039	12.3
811	Andrey Krutov	F	VHLPRO	20.3	CAR*	24′ #220	0.26	6.4	25%	2.8y @23.1	0037	11.9
939	Simon Forsmark	D	SHLPRO	22.8	CAR*	22′ #101	0.27	13.3	30%	2.1y @24.9	0027	10.3
962	Oskar Vuollet	F	SHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #133	0.14	6.6	23%	2.3y @23	0028	10.1
1034	Charles Alexis Legault	D	AHLPRO	23	CAR*	23′ #139	0.33	12	25%	1.9y @24.9	0027	9
1037	Fyodor Avramov	F	KHLPRO	20.8	CAR*	24′ #188	0.06	3.5	23%	2.5y @23.3	0028	9
1308	Aleksi Heimosalmi	D	AHLPRO	23.3	CAR	21′ #44	0.33	11.8	15%	0.8y @24.1	0026	6.4
1330	Scott Morrow	D	AHLPRO	23.8	CAR*	21′ #40	0.56	20.2	12%	now @24	0020	6.2
1445	Stanislav Yarovoi	F	VHLPRO	23	CAR*	23′ #126	0.43	10.6	10%	2.9y @25.9	0020	5.1
1604	Michael Emerson	F	NCAAPRO	22.7	CAR*	23′ #190	0.24	8.2	7%	1.2y @23.9	0020	4.2
1770	Bryce Montgomery	D	AHLPRO	23.8	CAR*	21′ #170	0.17	6	10%	2.3y @26.1	0015	3.1
1880	Ronan Seeley	D	AHLPRO	24	CAR*	20′ #208	0.33	12	7%	1.8y @25.8	0010	2.3

Who each prospect looks like

94. Bradly Nadeau68% NHL · 1.7y

Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP
Tyler Benson 16′#32	never stuck	38 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP

98. Charlie Cerrato68% NHL · 1.6y

Tyler Benson 16′#32	never stuck	38 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75	87 pk	674 GP
Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP
Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP

155. Jayden Perron62% NHL · 1.4y

Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Riley Damiani 18′#137	never stuck	7 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Connor Brown 12′#156	51 pk	676 GP
Lucas Wallmark 14′#97	31 pk	187 GP

280. Alexander Rykov47% NHL · 1.7y

Connor Bunnaman 16′#109	never stuck	54 GP
Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Nick Baptiste 13′#69	never stuck	47 GP
Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Austin Wagner 15′#99	28 pk	178 GP

290. Ivan Ryabkin50% NHL · 3.1y

Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Turgeon 14′#63	never stuck	9 GP
Raphael Bussieres 12′#46	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58	75 pk	567 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP

410. Viggo Nordlund40% NHL · 2.8y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP
Philipp Kurashev 18′#120	59 pk	360 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP

462. Dominik Badinka57% NHL · 2y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Andreas Englund 14′#40	10 pk	200 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

468. William Hakansson55% NHL · 3.5y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP

549. Alexander Perevalov38% NHL · 1.1y

Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73	never stuck	0 GP
Jake Leschyshyn 17′#62	never stuck	77 GP
Keegan Kolesar 15′#69	30 pk	439 GP
Jordan Martinook 12′#58	37 pk	797 GP
Akil Thomas 18′#51	never stuck	32 GP

635. Timur Mukhanov25% NHL · 1.6y

Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136	never stuck	0 GP
Austin Wagner 15′#99	28 pk	178 GP
Anton Blidh 13′#180	never stuck	89 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP

668. Noel Fransén45% NHL · 1.5y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

687. Alexander Siryatsky42% NHL · 2.3y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP