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Charlie Cerrato

CCAR · age 21 · 2025-26 · drafted 2025 by CAR, round 2, #49 overallCompare with…
NCAA
League
23
GP
7
G
20
A
27
P
1.17
P/GP
0.48
NHL-equiv. P/GP
20.5
Age

If called up: our NHL projection gives him 1 game this season (0.1 goals, 0.3 assists).

0.000.280.550.1221-22USHLage 16.50.1422-23USHLage 17.50.2723-24USHLage 18.50.4524-25NCAAage 19.50.4825-26NCAAage 20.5

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NCAA, 23 GP, 0.48 NHL-equivalent at 20.5, after 0.45 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, league level and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Dylan Gambrell C#60, 20165'11"16-17 NCAA38420.45233400.1712 P in 49 GP, 20-21
Drew Shore C#44, 20096'3"11-12 NCAA + AHL50560.4698260.2713 P in 43 GP, 12-13
Nathan Davis F#113, 20056'1"06-07 NCAA42500.4900–never played in the NHL
Riley Nash C#21, 20076'1"09-10 NCAA30350.486281760.2841 P in 76 GP, 17-18
Chris Tierney C#55, 20126'0"14-15 NHL + AHL72500.476492480.3848 P in 81 GP, 18-19

3 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 1 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

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