Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
45	Eddie Genborg	F	SHLPRO	19.3	DET*	25′ #44	0.58	28.1	70%	3.2y @22.5	183365	34
46	Anton Frondell	F	SHLPRO	19.3	CHI	25′ #3	0.65	31.5	72%	3.1y @22.4	193065	33.9
54	Ivar Stenberg	F	SHLPRO	18.9	SJS	26′ #2	0.77	37.1	70%	3.5y @22.4	183065	33.3
64	Lucas Pettersson	F	SHLPRO	20.3	ANA*	24′ #35	0.49	23.6	68%	2.3y @22.6	183068	32.3
65	Victor Eklund	F	SHLPRO	19.9	NYI	25′ #16	0.56	27	65%	2.5y @22.4	183068	32.2
86	Felix Nilsson	F	SHLPRO	21.2	NSH*	23′ #43	0.77	37.2	70%	1.8y @23	203353	30.9
242	Tinus Luc Koblar	F	SHLPRO	19.1	TOR*	25′ #64	0.3	14.4	53%	3y @22.1	01961	24.8
250	Noah Dower Nilsson	F	SHLPRO	21.3	DET*	23′ #73	0.33	16.1	53%	1.5y @22.8	02061	24.6
272	Jack Berglund	F	SHLPRO	20.4	PHI*	24′ #51	0.3	14.5	53%	2.3y @22.7	01961	23.8
278	Filip Eriksson	F	SHLPRO	21.8	MTL*	23′ #165	0.56	27	45%	1.3y @23.1	02455	23.6
289	Viggo Björck	F	SHLPRO	18.4	WPG	—	0.36	17.3	47%	4.2y @22.6	01858	23
354	Malte Gustafsson	D	SHLPRO	18.2	NYI	26′ #13	0.11	5.4	60%	4.2y @22.4	112245	21.4
405	Noah Steen	F	SHLPRO	22	TBL*	24′ #199	0.42	20.5	35%	1.1y @23.1	01255	20
419	Leo Sahlin Wallenius	D	SHLPRO	20.4	SJS*	24′ #53	0.41	19.7	55%	2.2y @22.6	111934	19.8
424	Alfons Freij	D	SHLPRO	20.5	WPG*	24′ #37	0.26	12.7	55%	2.1y @22.6	01843	19.6
459	Morgan Anderberg	F	SHLPRO	18.8	TBL*	26′ #134	0.08	3.7	40%	3.7y @22.5	01158	18.8
468	William Hakansson	D	SHLPRO	18.9	CAR*	26′ #51	0.09	4.4	55%	3.5y @22.4	01834	18.5
524	Linus Eriksson	F	SHLPRO	20.4	FLA*	24′ #58	0.16	7.9	42%	2.1y @22.5	01155	17.1
571	Anton Johansson	D	SHLPRO	22.2	DET*	22′ #105	0.4	19.6	38%	1.8y @24	01344	15.9
583	Gustav Hillstrom	F	SHLPRO	19.6	NJD*	25′ #114	0.04	1.8	40%	3.2y @22.8	0055	15.8
593	Loke Krantz	F	SHLPRO	19.3	SEA*	25′ #218	0.07	3.2	33%	3.5y @22.8	0055	15.6
715	Simon Zether	F	SHLPRO	20.8	FLA*	24′ #129	0.23	10.9	30%	2.2y @23	0037	13.3
853	Melvin Fernström	F	SHLPRO	20.5	VAN*	24′ #93	0.11	5.4	30%	2.4y @22.9	0029	11.4
936	Gregor Biber	D	SHLPRO	20	UTA*	24′ #98	0.05	2.5	38%	2.5y @22.5	0429	10.4
939	Simon Forsmark	D	SHLPRO	22.8	CAR*	22′ #101	0.27	13.3	30%	2.1y @24.9	0027	10.3
962	Oskar Vuollet	F	SHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #133	0.14	6.6	23%	2.3y @23	0028	10.1
989	Rasmus Bergqvist	D	SHLPRO	21.2	MTL*	24′ #224	0.1	4.8	28%	2.9y @24.1	0026	9.8
1087	Albin Sundin	D	SHLPRO	22	EDM*	24′ #183	0.18	8.5	28%	3.5y @25.5	0026	8.5
1119	Albert Wikman	D	SHLPRO	21.4	FLA*	23′ #127	0.11	5.3	25%	1.9y @23.3	0022	8.1
1225	Zeb Forsfjall	F	SHLPRO	21.6	SEA*	23′ #180	0.14	6.9	12%	1.6y @23.2	0025	7
1412	Milton Oscarson	F	SHLPRO	23.5	CHI*	23′ #167	0.37	17.7	12%	3.3y @26.8	0027	5.4
1479	Jonathan Myrenberg	D	SHLPRO	23.4	VAN*	21′ #140	0.12	6	15%	2.5y @25.9	0024	4.8
1658	Victor Stjernborg	F	SHLPRO	23.2	CHI*	21′ #108	0.29	13.8	12%	4.2y @27.4	0020	3.7
1945	Oliver Johansson	F	SHLPRO	23.1	OTT*	21′ #74	0.1	4.7	3%	0.8y @23.9	004	1.6
1946	William Von Barnekow Lofberg	F	SHLPRO	23.8	BUF*	21′ #161	0.18	8.6	5%	1.6y @25.4	000	1.6
2045	Linus Sjodin	F	SHLPRO	23.9	—	—	0.21	10.3	3%	now @23.9	000	0.5

Who each prospect looks like

45. Eddie Genborg70% NHL · 3.2y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP

46. Anton Frondell72% NHL · 3.1y

Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Michael Dal Colle 14′#5	20 pk	112 GP
Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP

54. Ivar Stenberg70% NHL · 3.5y

Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Elias Pettersson 17′#5	105 pk	545 GP
Michael Dal Colle 14′#5	20 pk	112 GP
Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP

64. Lucas Pettersson68% NHL · 2.3y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Tanner Pearson 12′#30	53 pk	778 GP
Jesse Ylonen 18′#35	35 pk	111 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP

65. Victor Eklund65% NHL · 2.5y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP

86. Felix Nilsson70% NHL · 1.8y

Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Tyler Benson 16′#32	never stuck	38 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP

242. Tinus Luc Koblar53% NHL · 3y

Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP
Marko Dano 13′#27	49 pk	141 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP

250. Noah Dower Nilsson53% NHL · 1.5y

Nick Baptiste 13′#69	never stuck	47 GP
Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP
Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49	never stuck	0 GP
MacKenzie Entwistle 17′#69	18 pk	193 GP

272. Jack Berglund53% NHL · 2.3y

Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP
Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58	75 pk	567 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP
Nick Baptiste 13′#69	never stuck	47 GP

278. Filip Eriksson45% NHL · 1.3y

Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP
Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142	34 pk	170 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP
Connor Brown 12′#156	51 pk	676 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP

289. Viggo Björck47% NHL · 4.2y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Bogdan Yakimov 13′#83	never stuck	1 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP

354. Malte Gustafsson60% NHL · 4.2y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP