Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
2	Caleb Malhotra★	F	OHL	18.2	VAN*	26′ #3	1.25	30.8	97%	1.5y @19.7	4562105	65.6
4	Jake O'Brien★	F	OHL	19.2	SEA*	25′ #8	1.75	43.2	90%	1y @20.2	417095	62.5
6	Nikita Klepov★	F	OHL	18.1	ANA	26′ #15	1.45	35.6	93%	2.1y @20.2	435794	59
11	Adam Novotny★	F	OHL	18.8	VAN	26′ #24	1.12	27.6	88%	2.4y @21.2	314687	48.3
14	Brady Martin★	F	OHL	19.4	NSH	25′ #5	1	24.6	78%	1.4y @20.8	294383	46.1
16	Ethan Belchetz★	F	OHL	18.4	UTA*	26′ #17	1.04	25.5	82%	2.8y @21.2	294687	45.6
18	Ryan Roobroeck★	F	OHL	18.9	CHI*	26′ #35	1.18	29.1	80%	2.1y @21	244285	45
21	Chase Reid★	D	OHL	18.6	SEA*	26′ #7	1.07	26.2	82%	1.6y @20.2	224376	42.5
24	Jack Nesbitt	F	OHL	19.6	PHI	25′ #12	1.05	25.9	72%	2.2y @21.8	273971	41
27	Brooks Rogowski★	F	OHL	18.2	VAN*	26′ #33	0.91	22.5	72%	3.6y @21.8	193583	38
30	Cameron Reid	F	OHL	19.4	NSH*	25′ #21	0.98	24.2	70%	2.6y @22	193573	37.6
35	Jett Luchanko	F	OHL	20	PHI	24′ #13	1.22	30.1	65%	2.4y @22.4	203465	35.5
49	Jaxon Cover	F	OHL	18.5	OTT*	26′ #32	0.78	19.1	65%	3.3y @21.8	03468	33.7
50	Ryder Cali★	F	OHL	18	FLA*	26′ #48	0.77	18.8	60%	3.8y @21.8	03283	33.7
55	Adam Jiricek	D	OHL	20.1	STL	24′ #16	1.07	26.4	75%	2.3y @22.4	172965	33.1
58	Pierce Mbuyi	F	OHL	18.3	PIT*	26′ #86	1.1	27.1	65%	3.6y @21.9	03368	32.9
60	Cole Beaudoin	F	OHL	20.3	UTA*	24′ #24	1.65	40.5	62%	2.5y @22.8	122983	32.5
70	Tyler Cooper★	F	OHL	16.7	—	—	0.37	9	57%	5.1y @21.8	03283	31.9
76	Kashawn Aitcheson	D	OHL	19.9	NYI*	25′ #17	1.25	30.8	75%	2.3y @22.2	142965	31.4
83	Adam Benak	F	OHL	19.4	MIN*	25′ #102	1.6	39.5	55%	2.7y @22.1	02973	31
84	Ryerson Edgar★	F	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.77	18.8	57%	4.7y @21.8	03168	30.9
87	Cam Warren	F	OHL	17.3	—	—	0.5	12.3	53%	4.5y @21.8	03088	30.8
88	Eamon Edgar★	F	OHL	16.8	—	—	0.33	8	53%	5y @21.8	03083	30.6
89	Ryan Hanrahan★	F	OHL	16.8	—	—	0.26	6.4	53%	5y @21.8	03083	30.6
95	Thomas Vandenberg	F	OHL	17.9	LAK*	26′ #103	0.85	20.8	57%	3.9y @21.8	03068	30.1
103	Dimian Zhilkin	F	OHL	17.8	—	—	1.27	31.3	57%	4y @21.8	03068	29.4
111	Sawyer Schmidt	F	OHL	16.6	—	—	0.08	2	53%	5.2y @21.8	03068	28.9
112	Brenner Lammens	F	OHL	16.9	—	—	0.31	7.5	53%	4.9y @21.8	03068	28.9
118	Jax Pereira	F	OHL	17.3	—	—	0.27	6.7	53%	4.6y @21.9	03083	28.7
129	Aleks Kulemin	F	OHL	17.4	—	—	0.54	13.4	50%	4.5y @21.9	02483	28.5
130	Noah Laus	F	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.43	10.5	50%	4.4y @21.9	02483	28.5
143	Sam Roberts	F	OHL	17.2	—	—	0.16	4	50%	4.7y @21.9	03083	28.2
157	John McLaughlin	F	OHL	17	—	—	0.32	7.9	50%	4.9y @21.9	02468	28
158	Max Delisle	F	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.23	5.6	50%	4.8y @21.9	01983	27.9
159	Landon Jackman	F	OHL	17.2	—	—	0.24	5.8	50%	4.7y @21.9	01983	27.9
160	Gerry DiCunzolo	F	OHL	17.2	—	—	0.23	5.7	50%	4.7y @21.9	01983	27.9
167	Jeremy Freeman	F	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.25	6	47%	4.8y @21.9	01983	27.4
168	Charlie Murata	F	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.31	7.5	47%	4.4y @21.9	02483	27.4
169	Jaakko Wycisk	F	OHL	17.4	—	—	0.72	17.6	53%	4.4y @21.8	02958	27.4
170	Ryan Kaczynski	F	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.21	5.2	47%	4.8y @21.9	01983	27.4
179	Simon Belohorsky	F	OHL	17.8	—	—	0.38	9.4	50%	4.1y @21.9	01983	27.2
182	Emil Hemming	F	OHL	20.1	DAL*	24′ #29	1.37	33.7	57%	2.8y @22.9	02561	27.1
183	Adam Levac	F	OHL	18.1	DET*	26′ #108	0.73	18	50%	3.8y @21.9	02483	27.1
184	Alessandro Di Iorio	F	OHL	18.4	CBJ*	26′ #94	0.69	16.9	50%	3.7y @22.1	02483	27.1
187	Henry Brzustewicz	D	OHL	19.5	LAK*	25′ #31	0.92	22.5	68%	2.4y @21.9	82664	26.9
190	Mark Pape	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.15	3.7	47%	4.3y @21.9	0483	26.8
191	Blake Munnings	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.12	3	47%	4.3y @21.9	0483	26.8
192	Brayden Bennett	F	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.2	5	47%	4.4y @21.9	0483	26.8
193	Max Brocklehurst	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.19	4.6	47%	4.3y @21.9	0483	26.8
202	Brock Chitaroni	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.4	9.8	50%	4.3y @21.9	02458	26.7
205	Easton Walos	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.71	17.4	50%	4.3y @21.9	02458	26.6
206	Jake Murray	F	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.18	4.4	50%	4.4y @21.9	01958	26.5
207	Gensen Geldart	F	OHL	17.3	—	—	0.2	4.9	50%	4.6y @21.9	01958	26.5
211	Keaton Ardagh	F	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.39	9.6	47%	4.8y @21.9	01958	26.3
212	Nolan Snyder	F	OHL	17.4	—	—	0.49	11.9	47%	4.5y @21.9	01958	26.3
218	Kaden McGregor	F	OHL	17.6	—	—	0.51	12.6	47%	4.3y @21.9	01958	25.9
219	Alexander Bilecki	F	OHL	18.3	TOR*	26′ #60	0.44	10.8	47%	3.7y @22	0383	25.8
226	Adam Nemec	F	OHL	18.8	OTT*	26′ #72	1.13	27.8	53%	3.1y @21.9	02364	25.6
243	Ryder Carey	F	OHL	18	—	—	0.51	12.5	45%	4y @22	0058	24.7
249	Jonah McCormick	F	OHL	17.9	—	—	0.11	2.7	45%	4.1y @22	0058	24.6
251	Alex McLean	F	OHL	18	—	—	0.76	18.7	45%	3.9y @21.9	0358	24.5
260	Anthony Figliomeni	F	OHL	17.9	—	—	0.24	5.8	45%	4.1y @22	0058	24.1
282	Marek Vanacker	F	OHL	20.4	CHI*	24′ #27	1.37	33.6	47%	2.4y @22.8	02049	23.2
283	Jean-Cristoph Lemieux	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.69	16.9	42%	3.9y @22.1	0057	23.2
294	Peter Green	D	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.22	5.4	53%	5y @22.1	02053	22.8
295	Kohyn Eshkawkogan	D	OHL	17.7	—	—	0.78	19.2	53%	4.4y @22.1	02053	22.8
296	Matthew Perreault	D	OHL	17.1	—	—	0.46	11.4	53%	5y @22.1	02053	22.8
302	Ulysses Lombardi	F	OHL	18.1	—	—	0.59	14.6	42%	4y @22.1	0057	22.6
306	Levi Harper	D	OHL	17.9	—	—	0.84	20.6	53%	4.2y @22.1	02053	22.4
307	Matthew Henderson	D	OHL	17.4	—	—	0.29	7	50%	4.9y @22.3	02053	22.4
308	Anthony Timmerman	D	OHL	16.9	—	—	0.13	3.3	50%	5.4y @22.3	02053	22.4
309	Kaden Aucoin	D	OHL	17	—	—	0.11	2.8	50%	5.3y @22.3	02053	22.4
324	Juraj Rausa	F	OHL	17.9	—	—	0.1	2.5	42%	4.2y @22.1	0057	22
330	Nikolas Rossetto	F	OHL	18	—	—	0.18	4.5	42%	4.1y @22.1	0057	21.9
339	Carter Kunopaski	D	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.14	3.4	50%	4.9y @22.4	02050	21.8
341	Maksim Sokolovskii	D	OHL	18.1	PHI*	26′ #27	0.18	4.5	50%	3.9y @22	01655	21.7
349	Michael D'Alessio	D	OHL	17.7	—	—	0.33	8.2	50%	4.6y @22.3	01850	21.5
350	Luca Blonda	D	OHL	17.7	—	—	0.38	9.4	50%	4.6y @22.3	01850	21.5
373	Brody Najim	F	OHL	18.1	—	—	0.1	2.5	42%	4.2y @22.3	0056	20.9
380	Beckham Edwards	F	OHL	18.6	DET*	26′ #143	0.7	17.3	42%	3.8y @22.4	0052	20.6
383	Nicholas Desiderio	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.23	5.8	40%	4y @22.2	0056	20.5
385	Brody Pepoy	F	OHL	18.3	TOR*	26′ #169	0.43	10.6	40%	3.9y @22.2	0056	20.4
393	Drew Roscoe	D	OHL	17.5	—	—	0.1	2.5	47%	5.1y @22.6	01650	20.2
396	Genc Ula	D	OHL	17.8	—	—	0.22	5.3	47%	4.8y @22.6	01650	20.1
409	Joe Salandra	F	OHL	18.5	—	—	0.64	15.8	42%	4.3y @22.8	0052	19.9
411	Troy Patton	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.37	9.1	40%	4y @22.2	0056	19.8
412	Adam Kelly	F	OHL	17.9	—	—	0.24	5.9	40%	4.3y @22.2	0056	19.8
413	Chase Gaughan	F	OHL	18.1	—	—	0.2	5	40%	4.1y @22.2	0056	19.8
426	Carter Stevens	F	OHL	18.6	STL*	26′ #150	0.68	16.7	40%	4y @22.6	0052	19.5
427	Cole Zurawski	F	OHL	18.5	FLA*	26′ #181	0.73	18	40%	4.1y @22.6	0052	19.5
428	Henry Doucet	F	OHL	18	—	—	0.04	1.1	38%	4.3y @22.3	0056	19.5
432	Nolan Buttar	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.31	7.5	38%	4.1y @22.3	0056	19.3
440	Nathan Amidovski	F	OHL	18.4	—	—	0.57	14.1	38%	3.9y @22.3	0052	19.1
441	Braidy Wassilyn	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.75	18.4	38%	4.1y @22.3	0052	19.1
442	Evgeny Dubrovtsev	F	OHL	18.4	—	—	0.56	13.7	38%	3.9y @22.3	0052	19.1
443	Ethan Garden	F	OHL	18.4	—	—	0.63	15.5	38%	3.9y @22.3	0052	19.1
446	Yanis Lutz	F	OHL	18.3	—	—	0.55	13.5	38%	4y @22.3	0052	19
447	Beksultan Makysh	F	OHL	18.2	—	—	0.57	14.1	38%	4.1y @22.3	0052	19
455	Jaxon Williams	F	OHL	18.1	—	—	0.16	4	40%	4.3y @22.4	0052	18.8
470	Layne Gallacher	F	OHL	18.5	—	—	0.57	14	38%	4.3y @22.8	0052	18.4

Who each prospect looks like

2. Caleb Malhotra97% NHL · 1.5y

Clayton Keller 16′#7	91 pk	683 GP
Sam Bennett 14′#4	63 pk	767 GP
Alex Nylander 16′#8	53 pk	126 GP
Jesperi Kotkaniemi 18′#3	43 pk	518 GP
Patrik Laine 16′#2	82 pk	537 GP

4. Jake O'Brien90% NHL · 1y

Barrett Hayton 18′#5	46 pk	358 GP
Gabriel Vilardi 17′#11	70 pk	352 GP
Robert Thomas 17′#20	95 pk	530 GP
Mathew Barzal 15′#16	85 pk	611 GP
Mitch Marner 15′#4	110 pk	738 GP

6. Nikita Klepov93% NHL · 2.1y

Clayton Keller 16′#7	91 pk	683 GP
Alex Nylander 16′#8	53 pk	126 GP
Mikhail Grigorenko 12′#12	31 pk	249 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP

11. Adam Novotny88% NHL · 2.4y

Liam Foudy 18′#18	19 pk	105 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP
Hunter Shinkaruk 13′#24	never stuck	15 GP
Joel Farabee 18′#14	57 pk	497 GP
Jaret Anderson-Dolan 17′#41	27 pk	134 GP

14. Brady Martin78% NHL · 1.4y

William Nylander 14′#8	100 pk	750 GP
Jake Virtanen 14′#6	43 pk	317 GP
Michael McLeod 16′#12	35 pk	287 GP
Vitali Kravtsov 18′#9	never stuck	64 GP
Bo Horvat 13′#9	90 pk	881 GP

16. Ethan Belchetz82% NHL · 2.8y

Liam Foudy 18′#18	19 pk	105 GP
Curtis Lazar 13′#17	29 pk	617 GP
Dylan Larkin 14′#15	83 pk	808 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP
Scott Laughton 12′#20	45 pk	745 GP

18. Ryan Roobroeck80% NHL · 2.1y

Jaret Anderson-Dolan 17′#41	27 pk	134 GP
Hunter Shinkaruk 13′#24	never stuck	15 GP
Nikolay Goldobin 14′#27	35 pk	125 GP
Jake Guentzel 13′#77	91 pk	681 GP
Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43	41 pk	119 GP

21. Chase Reid82% NHL · 1.6y

Adam Boqvist 18′#8	43 pk	272 GP
Quinn Hughes 18′#7	92 pk	507 GP
Evan Bouchard 18′#10	95 pk	429 GP
Darnell Nurse 13′#7	53 pk	798 GP
Mikhail Sergachev 16′#9	66 pk	630 GP

24. Jack Nesbitt72% NHL · 2.2y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Michael McLeod 16′#12	35 pk	287 GP
Jack Roslovic 15′#25	58 pk	595 GP
Vitali Kravtsov 18′#9	never stuck	64 GP
Ryan Poehling 17′#25	39 pk	358 GP

27. Brooks Rogowski72% NHL · 3.6y

J.T. Compher 13′#35	52 pk	658 GP
Scott Laughton 12′#20	45 pk	745 GP
Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30	46 pk	423 GP
Daniel Sprong 15′#46	57 pk	374 GP
Alex Tuch 14′#18	88 pk	615 GP

30. Cameron Reid70% NHL · 2.6y

Josh Norris 17′#19	68 pk	283 GP
Jack Roslovic 15′#25	58 pk	595 GP
Janne Kuokkanen 16′#43	41 pk	119 GP
Rasmus Asplund 16′#33	32 pk	189 GP
Michael McLeod 16′#12	35 pk	287 GP

35. Jett Luchanko65% NHL · 2.4y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Joshua Ho-Sang 14′#28	never stuck	53 GP
Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP
Nikita Scherbak 14′#26	never stuck	37 GP
Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP