Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
469	Servac Petrovsky	F	CZECHIAPRO	22	MIN*	22′ #185	0.42	18	35%	1.7y @23.7	0955	18.4
647	Štěpán Hoch	F	CZECHIAPRO	19.9	—	—	0.16	6.9	30%	3.2y @23.1	0055	14.6
921	Vojtěch Hradec	F	CZECHIAPRO	20.9	—	—	0.19	7.9	20%	2y @22.9	0053	10.6
1036	Vojtech Port	D	CZECHIAPRO	21	ANA*	23′ #161	0.05	2.1	30%	2.9y @23.9	0026	9
1198	Aleš Čech	D	CZECHIAPRO	22.2	—	—	0.14	5.8	23%	3.6y @25.8	0026	7.2
1728	Petr Hauser	F	CZECHIAPRO	22.9	NJD*	22′ #141	0.24	10.4	7%	1y @23.9	0020	3.4
1983	Jakub Kos	F	CZECHIAPRO	23.2	FLA*	21′ #184	0.2	8.5	5%	4.1y @27.3	000	1.3
1984	Martin Rysavy	F	CZECHIAPRO	23.5	CBJ*	21′ #197	0.27	11.6	5%	3.8y @27.3	000	1.3

Who each prospect looks like

469. Servac Petrovsky35% NHL · 1.7y

Marián Studenic 17′#143	never stuck	46 GP
Cole Ully 13′#131	never stuck	0 GP
Sammy Blais 14′#176	53 pk	278 GP
Pavel Koltygin 17′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Ben Jones 17′#189	never stuck	56 GP

647. Štěpán Hoch30% NHL · 3.2y

Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Drake Rymsha 17′#138	never stuck	1 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP

921. Vojtěch Hradec20% NHL · 2y

Anton Blidh 13′#180	never stuck	89 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP
Ivan Chekhovich 17′#212	never stuck	4 GP
Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136	never stuck	0 GP

1036. Vojtech Port30% NHL · 2.9y

Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

1198. Aleš Čech23% NHL · 3.6y

Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Robin Press 13′#211	never stuck	0 GP
Justin Hache 12′#208	never stuck	0 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP

1728. Petr Hauser7% NHL · 1y

Conner Bleackley 16′#144	never stuck	0 GP
Igor Shvyrev 17′#125	never stuck	0 GP
Radel Fazleev 14′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Daniel Walcott 14′#140	never stuck	1 GP
Michael Pezzetta 16′#160	20 pk	209 GP

1983. Jakub Kos5% NHL · 4.1y

Michael Pezzetta 16′#160	20 pk	209 GP
Gregory Chase 13′#188	never stuck	0 GP
Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172	never stuck	0 GP
Ryan Olsen 12′#160	never stuck	0 GP
Hampus Melen 13′#199	never stuck	0 GP

1984. Martin Rysavy5% NHL · 3.8y

Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172	never stuck	0 GP
Hampus Melen 13′#199	never stuck	0 GP
Samuel Houde 18′#133	never stuck	0 GP
Julien Nantel 14′#204	never stuck	0 GP
Ryan Olsen 12′#160	never stuck	0 GP