Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
100	Milton Gastrin	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	WSH*	25′ #37	0.62	19.2	57%	3.1y @22.3	42968	29.8
139	Elton Hermansson	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	18.5	LAK	26′ #19	0.55	17.2	60%	3.9y @22.4	42964	28.5
163	Jakob Ihs Wozniak	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.5	VGK*	25′ #55	0.64	19.9	55%	3y @22.5	02961	27.6
353	Herman Traff	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.6	—	—	0.8	25.1	45%	2.3y @22.9	02055	21.5
407	Philip Hemmyr	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	NSH*	26′ #138	0.33	10.4	40%	3.4y @22.6	01258	20
410	Viggo Nordlund	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.9	CAR*	25′ #183	0.5	15.6	40%	2.8y @22.7	01255	19.9
564	Charlie Forslund	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.3	DET*	24′ #176	0.32	10	33%	2.3y @22.6	0355	16.2
607	Theodor Hallquisth	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	MIN*	25′ #52	0.1	3.1	50%	3.4y @22.6	01631	15.3
644	Viggo Gustafsson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.9	NSH*	24′ #77	0.2	6.2	47%	2.8y @22.7	01431	14.7
668	Noel Fransén	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #69	0.37	11.5	45%	1.5y @22.2	01331	14.2
693	Karl Annborn	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.5	SEA*	25′ #205	0.38	11.8	40%	2.9y @22.4	01129	13.7
714	Victor Johansson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.3	TOR*	24′ #120	0.45	14.2	38%	2y @22.3	01129	13.3
851	Liam Dower Nilsson	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.4	DET*	21′ #134	1.12	34.8	15%	1.2y @24.6	0037	11.4
1070	Alex Ciernik	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	21.9	PHI*	23′ #120	0.24	7.4	15%	1.5y @23.4	0027	8.7
1081	Theo Jacobsson	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.4	SJS*	21′ #177	0.63	19.8	17%	1.3y @24.7	0033	8.5
1273	Gustav Sjoqvist	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.5	VGK*	25′ #187	0.09	2.7	23%	2.2y @22.7	0022	6.6
1292	Hugo Gabrielson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.8	VAN*	21′ #169	0.67	20.8	15%	0.6y @24.4	0029	6.5
1985	Albert Sjoberg	F	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.4	DAL*	21′ #207	0.33	10.1	5%	3.9y @27.3	000	1.3

Who each prospect looks like

100. Milton Gastrin57% NHL · 3.1y

Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP
Martin Kaut 18′#16	never stuck	56 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP

139. Elton Hermansson60% NHL · 3.9y

Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP
Martin Kaut 18′#16	never stuck	56 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Zemgus Girgensons 12′#14	40 pk	844 GP
Marko Dano 13′#27	49 pk	141 GP

163. Jakob Ihs Wozniak55% NHL · 3y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58	75 pk	567 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP

353. Herman Traff45% NHL · 2.3y

Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP
Sasha Chmelevski 17′#185	never stuck	24 GP
Sammy Blais 14′#176	53 pk	278 GP
Andrew Mangiapane 15′#166	55 pk	560 GP
Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142	34 pk	170 GP

407. Philip Hemmyr40% NHL · 3.4y

Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP

410. Viggo Nordlund40% NHL · 2.8y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP
Philipp Kurashev 18′#120	59 pk	360 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP

564. Charlie Forslund33% NHL · 2.3y

Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP
Austin Wagner 15′#99	28 pk	178 GP

607. Theodor Hallquisth50% NHL · 3.4y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

644. Viggo Gustafsson47% NHL · 2.8y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

668. Noel Fransén45% NHL · 1.5y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

693. Karl Annborn40% NHL · 2.9y

Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP

714. Victor Johansson38% NHL · 2y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP