Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | Daniil Prokhorov | F | VHLPRO | 19.3 | NYI* | 25′ #42 | 0.72 | 17.7 | 55% | 3.1y @22.4 | 02568 | 28.1 |
| 281 | Viktor Fedorov | F | VHLPRO | 18.5 | SEA* | 26′ #99 | 0.25 | 6.1 | 50% | 3.7y @22.2 | 01661 | 22.6 |
| 457 | Alexander Perevalov | F | VHLPRO | 22.3 | CAR* | 22′ #71 | 0.59 | 14.4 | 38% | 1.1y @23.4 | 01042 | 16.4 |
| 630 | Andrey Krutov | F | VHLPRO | 20.3 | CAR* | 24′ #220 | 0.26 | 6.4 | 25% | 2.8y @23.1 | 0037 | 11.9 |
| 986 | Stanislav Yarovoi | F | VHLPRO | 23 | CAR* | 23′ #126 | 0.43 | 10.6 | 10% | 2.9y @25.9 | 0020 | 5.1 |
Who each prospect looks like
145. Daniil Prokhorov55% NHL · 3.1y
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
| Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20 | 68 pk | 614 GP |
| Brock McGinn 12′#47 | 31 pk | 534 GP |
| Joe Veleno 18′#30 | 29 pk | 367 GP |
281. Viktor Fedorov50% NHL · 3.7y
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dominic Turgeon 14′#63 | never stuck | 9 GP |
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Givani Smith 16′#46 | 12 pk | 168 GP |
457. Alexander Perevalov38% NHL · 1.1y
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Leschyshyn 17′#62 | never stuck | 77 GP |
| Keegan Kolesar 15′#69 | 30 pk | 439 GP |
| Jordan Martinook 12′#58 | 37 pk | 797 GP |
| Akil Thomas 18′#51 | never stuck | 32 GP |
630. Andrey Krutov25% NHL · 2.8y
| Drake Rymsha 17′#138 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Nick Caamano 16′#146 | never stuck | 36 GP |
| Jesse Gabrielle 15′#105 | never stuck | 0 GP |
986. Stanislav Yarovoi10% NHL · 2.9y
| Igor Shvyrev 17′#125 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Michael Pezzetta 16′#160 | 20 pk | 209 GP |
| Nick Henry 17′#94 | never stuck | 0 GP |