Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
38	Eddie Genborg	F	SHLPRO	19.3	DET*	25′ #44	0.58	28.1	70%	3.2y @22.5	183365	34
39	Anton Frondell	F	SHLPRO	19.3	CHI	25′ #3	0.65	31.5	72%	3.1y @22.4	193065	33.9
47	Ivar Stenberg	F	SHLPRO	18.9	SJS	26′ #2	0.77	37.1	70%	3.5y @22.4	183065	33.3
56	Lucas Pettersson	F	SHLPRO	20.3	ANA*	24′ #35	0.49	23.6	68%	2.3y @22.6	183068	32.3
57	Victor Eklund	F	SHLPRO	19.9	NYI	25′ #16	0.56	27	65%	2.5y @22.4	183068	32.2
76	Felix Nilsson	F	SHLPRO	21.2	NSH*	23′ #43	0.77	37.2	70%	1.8y @23	203353	30.9
228	Tinus Luc Koblar	F	SHLPRO	19.1	TOR*	25′ #64	0.3	14.4	53%	3y @22.1	01961	24.8
236	Noah Dower Nilsson	F	SHLPRO	21.3	DET*	23′ #73	0.33	16.1	53%	1.5y @22.8	02061	24.6
257	Jack Berglund	F	SHLPRO	20.4	PHI*	24′ #51	0.3	14.5	53%	2.3y @22.7	01961	23.8
263	Filip Eriksson	F	SHLPRO	21.8	MTL*	23′ #165	0.56	27	45%	1.3y @23.1	02455	23.6
273	Viggo Björck	F	SHLPRO	18.4	WPG	—	0.36	17.3	47%	4.2y @22.6	01858	23
344	Noah Steen	F	SHLPRO	22	TBL*	24′ #199	0.42	20.5	35%	1.1y @23.1	01255	20
389	Morgan Anderberg	F	SHLPRO	18.8	TBL*	26′ #134	0.08	3.7	40%	3.7y @22.5	01158	18.8
440	Linus Eriksson	F	SHLPRO	20.4	FLA*	24′ #58	0.16	7.9	42%	2.1y @22.5	01155	17.1
480	Gustav Hillstrom	F	SHLPRO	19.6	NJD*	25′ #114	0.04	1.8	40%	3.2y @22.8	0055	15.8
487	Loke Krantz	F	SHLPRO	19.3	SEA*	25′ #218	0.07	3.2	33%	3.5y @22.8	0055	15.6
569	Simon Zether	F	SHLPRO	20.8	FLA*	24′ #129	0.23	10.9	30%	2.2y @23	0037	13.3
657	Melvin Fernström	F	SHLPRO	20.5	VAN*	24′ #93	0.11	5.4	30%	2.4y @22.9	0029	11.4
706	Oskar Vuollet	F	SHLPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #133	0.14	6.6	23%	2.3y @23	0028	10.1
848	Zeb Forsfjall	F	SHLPRO	21.6	SEA*	23′ #180	0.14	6.9	12%	1.6y @23.2	0025	7
965	Milton Oscarson	F	SHLPRO	23.5	CHI*	23′ #167	0.37	17.7	12%	3.3y @26.8	0027	5.4
1136	Victor Stjernborg	F	SHLPRO	23.2	CHI*	21′ #108	0.29	13.8	12%	4.2y @27.4	0020	3.7
1339	Oliver Johansson	F	SHLPRO	23.1	OTT*	21′ #74	0.1	4.7	3%	0.8y @23.9	004	1.6
1340	William Von Barnekow Lofberg	F	SHLPRO	23.8	BUF*	21′ #161	0.18	8.6	5%	1.6y @25.4	000	1.6
1410	Linus Sjodin	F	SHLPRO	23.9	—	—	0.21	10.3	3%	now @23.9	000	0.5

Who each prospect looks like

38. Eddie Genborg70% NHL · 3.2y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP

39. Anton Frondell72% NHL · 3.1y

Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Michael Dal Colle 14′#5	20 pk	112 GP
Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP

47. Ivar Stenberg70% NHL · 3.5y

Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Elias Pettersson 17′#5	105 pk	545 GP
Michael Dal Colle 14′#5	20 pk	112 GP
Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP

56. Lucas Pettersson68% NHL · 2.3y

Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Tanner Pearson 12′#30	53 pk	778 GP
Jesse Ylonen 18′#35	35 pk	111 GP
Bo Groulx 18′#54	never stuck	78 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP

57. Victor Eklund65% NHL · 2.5y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP

76. Felix Nilsson70% NHL · 1.8y

Jesper Boqvist 17′#36	34 pk	387 GP
Jack Drury 18′#42	30 pk	268 GP
Tyler Benson 16′#32	never stuck	38 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP

228. Tinus Luc Koblar53% NHL · 3y

Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP
Marko Dano 13′#27	49 pk	141 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP

236. Noah Dower Nilsson53% NHL · 1.5y

Nick Baptiste 13′#69	never stuck	47 GP
Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP
Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49	never stuck	0 GP
MacKenzie Entwistle 17′#69	18 pk	193 GP

257. Jack Berglund53% NHL · 2.3y

Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP
Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58	75 pk	567 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP
Nick Baptiste 13′#69	never stuck	47 GP

263. Filip Eriksson45% NHL · 1.3y

Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP
Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142	34 pk	170 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP
Connor Brown 12′#156	51 pk	676 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP

273. Viggo Björck47% NHL · 4.2y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Bogdan Yakimov 13′#83	never stuck	1 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP

344. Noah Steen35% NHL · 1.1y

Marián Studenic 17′#143	never stuck	46 GP
Pavel Koltygin 17′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Ben Jones 17′#189	never stuck	56 GP
Cameron Hughes 15′#165	never stuck	5 GP
Andrew Mangiapane 15′#166	55 pk	560 GP