Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
35	Benjamin Rautiainen	F	LIIGAPRO	21.2	TBL	25′ #108	1.31	57.8	65%	2y @23.2	213369	34.4
174	Jesse Kiiskinen	F	LIIGAPRO	21	NSH*	23′ #68	0.52	23	57%	1.7y @22.7	02759	27.1
189	Anttoni Uronen	F	LIIGAPRO	18.2	CBJ*	26′ #182	0.37	16.4	55%	4.4y @22.6	02559	26.8
215	Oliver Suvanto	F	LIIGAPRO	18	WSH	26′ #18	0.23	10.1	55%	4.4y @22.4	01964	25.6
252	Joona Saarelainen	F	LIIGAPRO	20.4	TBL*	24′ #149	0.47	20.8	50%	2.5y @22.9	02555	24.1
272	Atte Joki	F	LIIGAPRO	19.1	DAL*	25′ #146	0.3	13.3	47%	3.5y @22.6	01859	23.1
336	Santeri Sulku	F	LIIGAPRO	22.2	PHI*	22′ #197	0.67	29.5	40%	1.5y @23.7	02148	20.1
391	Aatos Koivu	F	LIIGAPRO	20.2	MTL*	24′ #70	0.19	8.5	45%	2.4y @22.6	01159	18.7
409	Oiva Keskinen	F	LIIGAPRO	22.5	CBJ*	23′ #194	0.76	33.4	35%	1.3y @23.8	01948	18.4
479	Kasper Pikkarainen	F	LIIGAPRO	20	NJD*	24′ #85	0.13	5.9	40%	2.6y @22.6	0055	15.8
591	Markus Loponen	F	LIIGAPRO	20.2	WPG*	24′ #155	0.15	6.6	28%	2.3y @22.5	0055	12.9
731	Samu Bau	F	LIIGAPRO	22.3	ARI*	23′ #162	0.27	12	17%	0.9y @23.2	0025	9.2

Who each prospect looks like

35. Benjamin Rautiainen65% NHL · 2y

Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75	87 pk	674 GP
Oskar Lindblom 14′#138	49 pk	337 GP
Riley Damiani 18′#137	never stuck	7 GP
Kirill Kaprizov 15′#135	112 pk	397 GP
Taylor Raddysh 16′#58	39 pk	373 GP

174. Jesse Kiiskinen57% NHL · 1.7y

Filip Hallander 18′#58	never stuck	16 GP
Peter Cehlarik 13′#90	never stuck	40 GP
Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP
Andreas Athanasiou 12′#110	58 pk	495 GP
Connor Bunnaman 16′#109	never stuck	54 GP

189. Anttoni Uronen55% NHL · 4.4y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Bogdan Yakimov 13′#83	never stuck	1 GP
Mathieu Joseph 15′#120	40 pk	471 GP

215. Oliver Suvanto55% NHL · 4.4y

Zemgus Girgensons 12′#14	40 pk	844 GP
Martin Kaut 18′#16	never stuck	56 GP
Marko Dano 13′#27	49 pk	141 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP

252. Joona Saarelainen50% NHL · 2.5y

Philipp Kurashev 18′#120	59 pk	360 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Mathieu Joseph 15′#120	40 pk	471 GP
Sasha Chmelevski 17′#185	never stuck	24 GP
Ondrej Kase 14′#205	55 pk	258 GP

272. Atte Joki47% NHL · 3.5y

Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Philipp Kurashev 18′#120	59 pk	360 GP

336. Santeri Sulku40% NHL · 1.5y

Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Rourke Chartier 14′#149	never stuck	56 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP
Connor Brown 12′#156	51 pk	676 GP
Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP

391. Aatos Koivu45% NHL · 2.4y

Dominic Turgeon 14′#63	never stuck	9 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Givani Smith 16′#46	12 pk	168 GP
Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP

409. Oiva Keskinen35% NHL · 1.3y

Maxim Mamin 16′#175	never stuck	73 GP
Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Olle Lycksell 17′#168	never stuck	52 GP
Mason Appleton 15′#168	37 pk	465 GP

479. Kasper Pikkarainen40% NHL · 2.6y

Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Turgeon 14′#63	never stuck	9 GP
Givani Smith 16′#46	12 pk	168 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Drake Rymsha 17′#138	never stuck	1 GP

591. Markus Loponen28% NHL · 2.3y

Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Nick Caamano 16′#146	never stuck	36 GP

731. Samu Bau17% NHL · 0.9y

Conner Bleackley 16′#144	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171	never stuck	0 GP
Oskar Steen 16′#165	never stuck	60 GP
Radel Fazleev 14′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Clark Bishop 14′#127	never stuck	53 GP