Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396 | Servac Petrovsky | F | CZECHIAPRO | 22 | MIN* | 22′ #185 | 0.42 | 18 | 35% | 1.7y @23.7 | 0955 | 18.4 |
| 525 | Štěpán Hoch | F | CZECHIAPRO | 19.9 | — | — | 0.16 | 6.9 | 30% | 3.2y @23.1 | 0055 | 14.6 |
| 687 | Vojtěch Hradec | F | CZECHIAPRO | 20.9 | — | — | 0.19 | 7.9 | 20% | 2y @22.9 | 0053 | 10.6 |
| 1183 | Petr Hauser | F | CZECHIAPRO | 22.9 | NJD* | 22′ #141 | 0.24 | 10.4 | 7% | 1y @23.9 | 0020 | 3.4 |
| 1366 | Jakub Kos | F | CZECHIAPRO | 23.2 | FLA* | 21′ #184 | 0.2 | 8.5 | 5% | 4.1y @27.3 | 000 | 1.3 |
| 1367 | Martin Rysavy | F | CZECHIAPRO | 23.5 | CBJ* | 21′ #197 | 0.27 | 11.6 | 5% | 3.8y @27.3 | 000 | 1.3 |
Who each prospect looks like
396. Servac Petrovsky35% NHL · 1.7y
| Marián Studenic 17′#143 | never stuck | 46 GP |
| Cole Ully 13′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Sammy Blais 14′#176 | 53 pk | 278 GP |
| Pavel Koltygin 17′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ben Jones 17′#189 | never stuck | 56 GP |
525. Štěpán Hoch30% NHL · 3.2y
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Drake Rymsha 17′#138 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Nick Caamano 16′#146 | never stuck | 36 GP |
687. Vojtěch Hradec20% NHL · 2y
| Anton Blidh 13′#180 | never stuck | 89 GP |
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Nick Caamano 16′#146 | never stuck | 36 GP |
| Ivan Chekhovich 17′#212 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1183. Petr Hauser7% NHL · 1y
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Igor Shvyrev 17′#125 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Radel Fazleev 14′#168 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Daniel Walcott 14′#140 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Michael Pezzetta 16′#160 | 20 pk | 209 GP |
1366. Jakub Kos5% NHL · 4.1y
| Michael Pezzetta 16′#160 | 20 pk | 209 GP |
| Gregory Chase 13′#188 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Olsen 12′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Hampus Melen 13′#199 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1367. Martin Rysavy5% NHL · 3.8y
| Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Hampus Melen 13′#199 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Samuel Houde 18′#133 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Julien Nantel 14′#204 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Olsen 12′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |