Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | Milton Gastrin | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 19.2 | WSH* | 25′ #37 | 0.62 | 19.2 | 57% | 3.1y @22.3 | 42968 | 29.8 |
| 128 | Elton Hermansson | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 18.5 | LAK | 26′ #19 | 0.55 | 17.2 | 60% | 3.9y @22.4 | 42964 | 28.5 |
| 152 | Jakob Ihs Wozniak | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 19.5 | VGK* | 25′ #55 | 0.64 | 19.9 | 55% | 3y @22.5 | 02961 | 27.6 |
| 311 | Herman Traff | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 20.6 | — | — | 0.8 | 25.1 | 45% | 2.3y @22.9 | 02055 | 21.5 |
| 345 | Philip Hemmyr | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 19.2 | NSH* | 26′ #138 | 0.33 | 10.4 | 40% | 3.4y @22.6 | 01258 | 20 |
| 348 | Viggo Nordlund | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 19.9 | CAR* | 25′ #183 | 0.5 | 15.6 | 40% | 2.8y @22.7 | 01255 | 19.9 |
| 467 | Charlie Forslund | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 20.3 | DET* | 24′ #176 | 0.32 | 10 | 33% | 2.3y @22.6 | 0355 | 16.2 |
| 655 | Liam Dower Nilsson | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 23.4 | DET* | 21′ #134 | 1.12 | 34.8 | 15% | 1.2y @24.6 | 0037 | 11.4 |
| 753 | Alex Ciernik | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 21.9 | PHI* | 23′ #120 | 0.24 | 7.4 | 15% | 1.5y @23.4 | 0027 | 8.7 |
| 756 | Theo Jacobsson | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 23.4 | SJS* | 21′ #177 | 0.63 | 19.8 | 17% | 1.3y @24.7 | 0033 | 8.5 |
| 1368 | Albert Sjoberg | F | ALLSVENSKANPRO | 23.4 | DAL* | 21′ #207 | 0.33 | 10.1 | 5% | 3.9y @27.3 | 000 | 1.3 |
Who each prospect looks like
90. Milton Gastrin57% NHL · 3.1y
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
| Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20 | 68 pk | 614 GP |
| Martin Kaut 18′#16 | never stuck | 56 GP |
| Joe Veleno 18′#30 | 29 pk | 367 GP |
128. Elton Hermansson60% NHL · 3.9y
| Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20 | 68 pk | 614 GP |
| Martin Kaut 18′#16 | never stuck | 56 GP |
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
| Zemgus Girgensons 12′#14 | 40 pk | 844 GP |
| Marko Dano 13′#27 | 49 pk | 141 GP |
152. Jakob Ihs Wozniak55% NHL · 3y
| Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
| Tyler Bertuzzi 13′#58 | 75 pk | 567 GP |
| Bo Groulx 18′#54 | never stuck | 78 GP |
| Brock McGinn 12′#47 | 31 pk | 534 GP |
311. Herman Traff45% NHL · 2.3y
| Ondrej Kase 14′#205 | 55 pk | 258 GP |
| Sasha Chmelevski 17′#185 | never stuck | 24 GP |
| Sammy Blais 14′#176 | 53 pk | 278 GP |
| Andrew Mangiapane 15′#166 | 55 pk | 560 GP |
| Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142 | 34 pk | 170 GP |
345. Philip Hemmyr40% NHL · 3.4y
| Maksim Sushko 17′#107 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gabriel Fortier 18′#59 | never stuck | 11 GP |
348. Viggo Nordlund40% NHL · 2.8y
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Maksim Sushko 17′#107 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Ondrej Kase 14′#205 | 55 pk | 258 GP |
| Philipp Kurashev 18′#120 | 59 pk | 360 GP |
| Nick Caamano 16′#146 | never stuck | 36 GP |
467. Charlie Forslund33% NHL · 2.3y
| Maksim Sushko 17′#107 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Beck Malenstyn 16′#145 | 21 pk | 262 GP |
| Taylor Leier 12′#117 | never stuck | 55 GP |
| Nick Caamano 16′#146 | never stuck | 36 GP |
| Austin Wagner 15′#99 | 28 pk | 178 GP |
655. Liam Dower Nilsson15% NHL · 1.2y
| Glenn Gawdin 15′#116 | never stuck | 13 GP |
| Olle Lycksell 17′#168 | never stuck | 52 GP |
| Liam Kirk 18′#189 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Parker Foo 17′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Adam Mascherin 18′#100 | never stuck | 0 GP |
753. Alex Ciernik15% NHL · 1.5y
| Nathan Noel 16′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jesse Gabrielle 15′#105 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Damien Giroux 18′#155 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Chandler Stephenson 12′#77 | 66 pk | 653 GP |
756. Theo Jacobsson17% NHL · 1.3y
| Semyon Kizimov 18′#211 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Evans 14′#207 | 36 pk | 418 GP |
| Erik Nystrom 12′#154 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gustav Possler 13′#130 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan McGregor 17′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1368. Albert Sjoberg5% NHL · 3.9y
| Mitchell Hoelscher 18′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Hampus Melen 13′#199 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Reid Duke 14′#169 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gregory Chase 13′#188 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Olsen 12′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |