Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
43	Malte Gustafsson	D	SHLPRO	18.2	NYI	26′ #13	0.11	5.4	60%	4.2y @22.4	112245	21.4
63	Leo Sahlin Wallenius	D	SHLPRO	20.4	SJS*	24′ #53	0.41	19.7	55%	2.2y @22.6	111934	19.8
66	Alfons Freij	D	SHLPRO	20.5	WPG*	24′ #37	0.26	12.7	55%	2.1y @22.6	01843	19.6
73	William Hakansson	D	SHLPRO	18.9	CAR*	26′ #51	0.09	4.4	55%	3.5y @22.4	01834	18.5
99	Anton Johansson	D	SHLPRO	22.2	DET*	22′ #105	0.4	19.6	38%	1.8y @24	01344	15.9
244	Gregor Biber	D	SHLPRO	20	UTA*	24′ #98	0.05	2.5	38%	2.5y @22.5	0429	10.4
247	Simon Forsmark	D	SHLPRO	22.8	CAR*	22′ #101	0.27	13.3	30%	2.1y @24.9	0027	10.3
273	Rasmus Bergqvist	D	SHLPRO	21.2	MTL*	24′ #224	0.1	4.8	28%	2.9y @24.1	0026	9.8
328	Albin Sundin	D	SHLPRO	22	EDM*	24′ #183	0.18	8.5	28%	3.5y @25.5	0026	8.5
342	Albert Wikman	D	SHLPRO	21.4	FLA*	23′ #127	0.11	5.3	25%	1.9y @23.3	0022	8.1
468	Jonathan Myrenberg	D	SHLPRO	23.4	VAN*	21′ #140	0.12	6	15%	2.5y @25.9	0024	4.8

Who each prospect looks like

43. Malte Gustafsson60% NHL · 4.2y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

63. Leo Sahlin Wallenius55% NHL · 2.2y

Filip Hronek 16′#53	52 pk	533 GP
Vince Dunn 15′#56	65 pk	623 GP
Kale Clague 16′#51	never stuck	94 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Joey Keane 18′#88	never stuck	2 GP

66. Alfons Freij55% NHL · 2.1y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP

73. William Hakansson55% NHL · 3.5y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP

99. Anton Johansson38% NHL · 1.8y

Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP
Andrei Mironov 15′#101	never stuck	10 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP

244. Gregor Biber38% NHL · 2.5y

Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP

247. Simon Forsmark30% NHL · 2.1y

Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP

273. Rasmus Bergqvist28% NHL · 2.9y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

328. Albin Sundin28% NHL · 3.5y

Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP

342. Albert Wikman25% NHL · 1.9y

Dylan Labbe 13′#107	never stuck	0 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Antti Palojarvi 17′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP
Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP

468. Jonathan Myrenberg15% NHL · 2.5y

Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148	never stuck	0 GP