Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
36	Alberts Smits	D	LIIGAPRO	18.7	NYR	26′ #5	0.34	15.1	62%	3.9y @22.6	112245	21.9
44	Juho Piiparinen	D	LIIGAPRO	18	VGK	26′ #29	0.1	4.6	60%	4.6y @22.6	112243	21.3
85	Lasse Boelius	D	LIIGAPRO	19.4	ANA*	25′ #60	0.2	8.9	53%	3.1y @22.5	01832	17.1
91	Kasper Kulonummi	D	LIIGAPRO	22.5	NSH*	22′ #84	0.5	22.1	38%	1.6y @24.1	01344	16.6
116	Aron Kiviharju	D	LIIGAPRO	20.6	MIN*	24′ #122	0.35	15.7	45%	1.8y @22.4	01331	15
163	Sebastian Soini	D	LIIGAPRO	20.2	MIN*	24′ #140	0.17	7.7	40%	2.2y @22.4	01029	12.7
319	Kalle Kangas	D	LIIGAPRO	21.5	PIT*	23′ #223	0.1	4.3	25%	3.1y @24.6	0026	8.7
338	Axel Landen	D	LIIGAPRO	21.4	SJS*	23′ #130	0.14	6.2	28%	2.5y @23.9	0023	8.3
457	Anton Olsson	D	LIIGAPRO	23.6	NSH*	21′ #72	0.28	12.2	12%	1.7y @25.3	0017	5.1

Who each prospect looks like

36. Alberts Smits62% NHL · 3.9y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Jakub Zboril 15′#13	never stuck	76 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP

44. Juho Piiparinen60% NHL · 4.6y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

85. Lasse Boelius53% NHL · 3.1y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP

91. Kasper Kulonummi38% NHL · 1.6y

Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Andrei Mironov 15′#101	never stuck	10 GP
Sean Durzi 18′#52	44 pk	302 GP

116. Aron Kiviharju45% NHL · 1.8y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Christian Jaros 15′#139	never stuck	94 GP

163. Sebastian Soini40% NHL · 2.2y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

319. Kalle Kangas25% NHL · 3.1y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

338. Axel Landen28% NHL · 2.5y

Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP

457. Anton Olsson12% NHL · 1.7y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP
Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71	never stuck	0 GP
Jacob Ragnarsson 18′#70	never stuck	0 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP