Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
61	Anton Silayev	D	KHLPRO	20.4	NJD	24′ #10	0.05	3.1	57%	2.4y @22.8	101942	20
106	Daniil Orlov	D	KHLPRO	22.7	NJD*	22′ #110	0.42	26.8	40%	1.4y @24.1	01341	15.6
124	Mikhail Gulyayev	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL	23′ #31	0.06	3.5	50%	1.5y @22.8	01331	14.4
135	Alexander Siryatsky	D	KHLPRO	20	CAR*	24′ #124	0.14	8.5	42%	2.3y @22.3	01129	13.8
144	Ivan Patrikhayev	D	KHLPRO	20.5	NYR*	26′ #193	0.2	12.4	35%	2.2y @22.7	0731	13.4
204	Arseni Koromyslov	D	KHLPRO	22.8	STL*	22′ #120	0.28	17.6	35%	2y @24.8	0029	11.2
220	Bogdan Konyushkov	D	KHLPRO	23.7	MTL*	23′ #110	0.57	35.8	25%	now @23.9	0037	11
231	Matvei Shuravin	D	KHLPRO	20.4	FLA*	24′ #97	0.05	3	40%	2.4y @22.8	0727	10.7
290	Nikita Yevseyev	D	KHLPRO	22.3	EDM*	22′ #190	0.26	16.6	30%	2.6y @24.9	0026	9.1
346	Nikita Ishimnikov	D	KHLPRO	21.3	COL*	23′ #155	0.08	5.1	25%	2.7y @24	0024	7.9
573	Daniil Sobolev	D	KHLPRO	23.5	MTL*	21′ #142	0.08	4.9	10%	2.6y @26.1	0010	2.7

Who each prospect looks like

61. Anton Silayev57% NHL · 2.4y

Jakub Zboril 15′#13	never stuck	76 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Haydn Fleury 14′#7	26 pk	345 GP

106. Daniil Orlov40% NHL · 1.4y

Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Devon Toews 14′#108	71 pk	541 GP
Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Brandon Montour 14′#55	75 pk	665 GP

124. Mikhail Gulyayev50% NHL · 1.5y

Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

135. Alexander Siryatsky42% NHL · 2.3y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

144. Ivan Patrikhayev35% NHL · 2.2y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP

204. Arseni Koromyslov35% NHL · 2y

Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Jacob Bryson 17′#99	19 pk	304 GP
Filip Kral 18′#149	never stuck	2 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Jacob Moverare 16′#112	13 pk	109 GP

220. Bogdan Konyushkov25% NHL · 0.2y

Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Vili Saarijarvi 15′#73	never stuck	0 GP
Jakob Stenqvist 16′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Victor Berglund 17′#195	never stuck	0 GP
Devon Toews 14′#108	71 pk	541 GP

231. Matvei Shuravin40% NHL · 2.4y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP

290. Nikita Yevseyev30% NHL · 2.6y

Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Declan Chisholm 18′#150	23 pk	125 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP

346. Nikita Ishimnikov25% NHL · 2.7y

Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP

573. Daniil Sobolev10% NHL · 2.6y

Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Dysin Mayo 14′#133	never stuck	85 GP