Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
108	Theodor Hallquisth	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	MIN*	25′ #52	0.1	3.1	50%	3.4y @22.6	01631	15.3
122	Viggo Gustafsson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.9	NSH*	24′ #77	0.2	6.2	47%	2.8y @22.7	01431	14.7
128	Noel Fransén	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.7	CAR*	24′ #69	0.37	11.5	45%	1.5y @22.2	01331	14.2
139	Karl Annborn	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.5	SEA*	25′ #205	0.38	11.8	40%	2.9y @22.4	01129	13.7
146	Victor Johansson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.3	TOR*	24′ #120	0.45	14.2	38%	2y @22.3	01129	13.3
389	Gustav Sjoqvist	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	20.5	VGK*	25′ #187	0.09	2.7	23%	2.2y @22.7	0022	6.6
397	Hugo Gabrielson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.8	VAN*	21′ #169	0.67	20.8	15%	0.6y @24.4	0029	6.5

Who each prospect looks like

108. Theodor Hallquisth50% NHL · 3.4y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

122. Viggo Gustafsson47% NHL · 2.8y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

128. Noel Fransén45% NHL · 1.5y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP

139. Karl Annborn40% NHL · 2.9y

Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP

146. Victor Johansson38% NHL · 2y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP

389. Gustav Sjoqvist23% NHL · 2.2y

James Melindy 12′#88	never stuck	0 GP
Dylan Labbe 13′#107	never stuck	0 GP
Oleg Sosunov 16′#178	never stuck	0 GP
Antti Palojarvi 17′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP

397. Hugo Gabrielson15% NHL · 0.6y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Rushan Rafikov 13′#187	never stuck	0 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Valeri Vasiliev 12′#201	never stuck	0 GP