Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cole Hutson | D | NCAA | 20.1 | WSH | 24′ #43 | 0.91 | 30.7 | 62% | 2.6y @22.7 | 02552 | 25.4 |
| 86 | Leon Muggli | D | AHLPRO | 20.1 | WSH* | 24′ #52 | 0.26 | 9.4 | 53% | 2.4y @22.5 | 01832 | 17 |
| 246 | Ryan Chesley | D | AHLPRO | 22.5 | WSH* | 22′ #37 | 0.25 | 9 | 30% | 0.8y @23.3 | 0027 | 10.3 |
| 307 | Cam Allen | D | AHLPRO | 21.6 | WSH* | 23′ #136 | 0.32 | 11.5 | 28% | 3y @24.6 | 0024 | 8.8 |
Who each prospect looks like
13. Cole Hutson62% NHL · 2.6y
| Scott Perunovich 18′#45 | 26 pk | 108 GP |
| Nils Lundkvist 18′#28 | 26 pk | 235 GP |
| Josh Brook 17′#56 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Sean Durzi 18′#52 | 44 pk | 302 GP |
| Jacob Bernard-Docker 18′#26 | 16 pk | 207 GP |
86. Leon Muggli53% NHL · 2.4y
| Martin Fehérváry 18′#46 | 27 pk | 380 GP |
| Alexander Romanov 18′#38 | 26 pk | 369 GP |
| Travis Dermott 15′#34 | 29 pk | 348 GP |
| Guillaume Brisebois 15′#66 | never stuck | 30 GP |
| Adam Pelech 12′#65 | 29 pk | 642 GP |
246. Ryan Chesley30% NHL · 0.8y
| Madison Bowey 13′#53 | 26 pk | 158 GP |
| Lucas Johansen 16′#28 | never stuck | 9 GP |
| Adam Ginning 18′#50 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Matthew Finn 12′#35 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Walman 14′#82 | 52 pk | 320 GP |
307. Cam Allen28% NHL · 3y
| Brandon Crawley 17′#123 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Anton Cederholm 13′#145 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Blake Siebenaler 14′#77 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tim Berni 18′#159 | never stuck | 59 GP |
| Christian Jaros 15′#139 | never stuck | 94 GP |