Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 | Zach Nehring | F | NCAAPRO | 21.5 | WPG* | 23′ #82 | 0.49 | 16.3 | 47% | 1.3y @22.8 | 01559 | 22.6 |
| 748 | Garrett Brown | D | NCAAPRO | 22.4 | WPG* | 22′ #99 | 0.41 | 13.8 | 40% | 2.4y @24.8 | 01127 | 12.8 |
| 793 | Sascha Boumedienne | D | NCAA | 19.6 | WPG | 25′ #28 | 0.29 | 9.6 | 38% | 2.5y @22.1 | 0027 | 12.2 |
| 1424 | Connor Levis | F | NCAAPRO | 21.9 | WPG* | 23′ #210 | 0.16 | 5.4 | 7% | 1.9y @23.8 | 0021 | 5.3 |
Who each prospect looks like
304. Zach Nehring47% NHL · 1.3y
| Mikhail Vorobyev 15′#104 | never stuck | 35 GP |
| Paul Cotter 18′#115 | 27 pk | 296 GP |
| Allan McShane 18′#97 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Michael Amadio 14′#90 | 35 pk | 522 GP |
| Nick Baptiste 13′#69 | never stuck | 47 GP |
748. Garrett Brown40% NHL · 2.4y
| Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Frederic Allard 16′#78 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Lucas Carlsson 16′#110 | never stuck | 73 GP |
| Jakub Galvas 17′#150 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| William Lagesson 14′#91 | 11 pk | 107 GP |
793. Sascha Boumedienne38% NHL · 2.5y
| Ryan Lindgren 16′#49 | 29 pk | 481 GP |
| Alexander Romanov 18′#38 | 26 pk | 369 GP |
| Roland McKeown 14′#50 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Patrick Sieloff 12′#42 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Dalton Thrower 12′#51 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1424. Connor Levis7% NHL · 1.9y
| Anton Blidh 13′#180 | never stuck | 89 GP |
| Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Calvin Thurkauf 16′#185 | never stuck | 3 GP |
| Matteo Gennaro 15′#203 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Daniel Bernhardt 15′#119 | never stuck | 0 GP |