Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
Org:AllANAARIBOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 | Rutger McGroarty | F | AHLPRO | 22.4 | WPG* | 22′ #14 | 1.13 | 40.9 | 55% | 0.8y @23.2 | 02864 | 26.6 |
| 319 | Colby Barlow | F | AHLPRO | 21.5 | WPG* | 23′ #18 | 0.25 | 8.9 | 57% | 1.4y @22.9 | 02046 | 22.3 |
| 599 | Brad Lambert | F | AHLPRO | 22.7 | WPG* | 22′ #30 | 0.38 | 13.8 | 40% | 0.9y @23.6 | 01037 | 15.4 |
| 750 | Isak Rosén | F | AHLPRO | 23.4 | WPG | — | 1.16 | 41.9 | 17% | 1.2y @24.6 | 0055 | 12.8 |
| 796 | Elias Salomonsson | D | AHLPRO | 22 | WPG | 22′ #55 | 0.31 | 11.2 | 40% | 1.3y @23.3 | 0729 | 12.1 |
| 948 | Danil Zhilkin | F | AHLPRO | 22.7 | WPG* | 22′ #77 | 0.39 | 14 | 25% | 1y @23.7 | 0031 | 10.2 |
| 1227 | Jacob Julien | F | AHLPRO | 21.9 | WPG* | 23′ #146 | 0.23 | 8.1 | 10% | 1y @22.9 | 0025 | 6.9 |
| 1417 | Dmitry Kuzmin | D | AHLPRO | 23.3 | WPG* | 21′ #82 | 0.33 | 11.8 | 12% | 2.6y @25.9 | 0017 | 5.3 |
| 1643 | Fabian Wagner | F | AHLPRO | 22.3 | WPG* | 22′ #175 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 7% | 1.6y @23.9 | 0012 | 3.8 |
| 2006 | Nikita Chibrikov | F | AHLPRO | 23.5 | WPG | 21′ #50 | 0.3 | 10.9 | 3% | 0.6y @24.1 | 000 | 1 |
Who each prospect looks like
204. Rutger McGroarty55% NHL · 0.8y
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
| Tyler Benson 16′#32 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Egor Korshkov 16′#31 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Boris Katchouk 16′#44 | 23 pk | 179 GP |
| Taylor Raddysh 16′#58 | 39 pk | 373 GP |
319. Colby Barlow57% NHL · 1.4y
| Kieffer Bellows 16′#19 | 35 pk | 114 GP |
| Zach Senyshyn 15′#15 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Brendan Lemieux 14′#31 | 25 pk | 307 GP |
| Radek Faksa 12′#13 | 34 pk | 766 GP |
| Brendan Gaunce 12′#26 | 20 pk | 214 GP |
599. Brad Lambert40% NHL · 0.9y
| Jansen Harkins 15′#47 | 20 pk | 305 GP |
| Akil Thomas 18′#51 | never stuck | 32 GP |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe 12′#38 | 34 pk | 302 GP |
| Yakov Trenin 15′#55 | 26 pk | 457 GP |
| Pascal Laberge 16′#36 | never stuck | 0 GP |
750. Isak Rosén17% NHL · 1.2y
| Victor Olofsson 14′#181 | 64 pk | 448 GP |
| Nikita Gusev 12′#202 | never stuck | 97 GP |
| Maxim Mamin 16′#175 | never stuck | 73 GP |
| Dominik Lakatos 17′#157 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Miro Aaltonen 13′#177 | never stuck | 0 GP |
796. Elias Salomonsson40% NHL · 1.3y
| Josh Brook 17′#56 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Madison Bowey 13′#53 | 26 pk | 158 GP |
| Josh Jacobs 14′#41 | never stuck | 3 GP |
| Roland McKeown 14′#50 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Frederic Allard 16′#78 | never stuck | 4 GP |
948. Danil Zhilkin25% NHL · 1y
| J.C. Beaudin 15′#71 | never stuck | 22 GP |
| Anton Karlsson 14′#87 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jimmy Lodge 13′#84 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1227. Jacob Julien10% NHL · 1y
| Nathan Noel 16′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Damien Giroux 18′#155 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ivan Chekhovich 17′#212 | never stuck | 4 GP |
1417. Dmitry Kuzmin12% NHL · 2.6y
| Ty Emberson 18′#73 | 27 pk | 178 GP |
| Cam Dineen 16′#68 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Connor Clifton 13′#133 | 24 pk | 434 GP |
| Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1643. Fabian Wagner7% NHL · 1.6y
| Nathan Noel 16′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Damien Giroux 18′#155 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ty Ronning 16′#201 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Blade Jenkins 18′#134 | never stuck | 0 GP |
2006. Nikita Chibrikov3% NHL · 0.6y
| Troy Bourke 12′#72 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Marcus Davidsson 17′#37 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| William Bitten 16′#70 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Brian Hart 12′#53 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Gropp 15′#41 | never stuck | 0 GP |