Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
66	Alfons Freij	D	SHLPRO	20.5	WPG	24′ #37	0.26	12.7	55%	2.1y @22.6	01843	19.6
96	Alofa Tunoa Ta'amu	D	WHL	18.2	WPG*	26′ #199	0.19	4.8	40%	4.6y @22.8	01545	16.4
115	Alexandre Taillefer	D	LHJMQ	18.6	WPG*	26′ #135	0.61	13.9	38%	4.3y @22.9	0944	15
155	Garrett Brown	D	NCAAPRO	22.4	WPG	22′ #99	0.41	13.8	40%	2.4y @24.8	01127	12.8
172	Sascha Boumedienne	D	NCAA	19.6	WPG	25′ #28	0.29	9.6	38%	2.5y @22.1	0027	12.2
173	Elias Salomonsson	D	AHLPRO	22	WPG*	22′ #55	0.31	11.2	40%	1.3y @23.3	0729	12.1
347	Edison Engle	D	OHL	19.5	WPG*	25′ #188	0.46	11.3	23%	4.6y @24.1	0026	7.9
448	Dmitry Kuzmin	D	AHLPRO	23.3	WPG*	21′ #82	0.33	11.8	12%	2.6y @25.9	0017	5.3

Who each prospect looks like

66. Alfons Freij55% NHL · 2.1y

Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Travis Dermott 15′#34	29 pk	348 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP

96. Alofa Tunoa Ta'amu40% NHL · 4.6y

Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Keaton Thompson 13′#87	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Downing 13′#97	never stuck	0 GP

115. Alexandre Taillefer38% NHL · 4.3y

Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP

155. Garrett Brown40% NHL · 2.4y

Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP

172. Sascha Boumedienne38% NHL · 2.5y

Ryan Lindgren 16′#49	29 pk	481 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Dalton Thrower 12′#51	never stuck	0 GP

173. Elias Salomonsson40% NHL · 1.3y

Josh Brook 17′#56	never stuck	0 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Josh Jacobs 14′#41	never stuck	3 GP
Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP

347. Edison Engle23% NHL · 4.6y

Giovanni Vallati 18′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Dennis Busby 18′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Vojtech Budik 16′#130	never stuck	0 GP

448. Dmitry Kuzmin12% NHL · 2.6y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Cam Dineen 16′#68	never stuck	38 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148	never stuck	0 GP
Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71	never stuck	0 GP