Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
127	Jonathan Lekkerimäki	F	AHLPRO	22.1	VAN	22′ #15	0.95	34.4	65%	1y @23.1	03064	28.5
337	Anthony Romani	F	NCAAPRO	21.1	VAN*	24′ #162	0.76	25.4	45%	2y @23.1	02155	21.9
738	Sawyer Mynio	D	AHLPRO	21.3	VAN*	23′ #89	0.36	13.1	35%	1.2y @22.5	01129	12.9
853	Melvin Fernström	F	SHLPRO	20.5	VAN*	24′ #93	0.11	5.4	30%	2.4y @22.9	0029	11.4
981	Ty Mueller	F	AHLPRO	23.5	VAN*	23′ #105	0.61	21.9	20%	2.4y @25.9	0036	9.8
1029	Aiden Celebrini	D	NCAAPRO	21.8	VAN*	23′ #171	0.2	6.7	25%	2.8y @24.6	0026	9.1
1032	Basile Sansonnens	D	NLPRO	20	VAN*	24′ #221	0.07	3.1	33%	2.7y @22.7	0426	9.1
1170	Jackson Dorrington	D	AHLPRO	22.4	VAN*	22′ #176	0.16	5.7	23%	3.4y @25.8	0026	7.4
1290	Danila Klimovich	F	AHLPRO	23.6	VAN*	21′ #41	0.54	19.5	17%	1y @24.6	0030	6.5
1292	Hugo Gabrielson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.8	VAN*	21′ #169	0.67	20.8	15%	0.6y @24.4	0029	6.5
1384	Matthew Perkins	F	NCAAPRO	22.6	VAN*	23′ #119	0.24	8.1	10%	3.3y @25.9	0020	5.7
1387	Vilmer Alriksson	F	AHLPRO	21.5	VAN*	23′ #107	0.21	7.6	7%	2.3y @23.8	0020	5.6
1479	Jonathan Myrenberg	D	SHLPRO	23.4	VAN*	21′ #140	0.12	6	15%	2.5y @25.9	0024	4.8
1809	Daimon Gardner	F	NCAAPRO	22.6	VAN*	22′ #112	0.15	5.2	5%	3.3y @25.9	0012	2.9
2020	Jackson Kunz	F	AHLPRO	24	VAN*	20′ #113	0.14	4.9	3%	now @23.9	000	0.8

Who each prospect looks like

127. Jonathan Lekkerimäki65% NHL · 1y

Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP
Kirill Marchenko 18′#49	77 pk	292 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28	never stuck	1 GP

337. Anthony Romani45% NHL · 2y

Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142	34 pk	170 GP
Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP
Sasha Chmelevski 17′#185	never stuck	24 GP
Andrew Mangiapane 15′#166	55 pk	560 GP
Alan Quine 13′#166	24 pk	106 GP

738. Sawyer Mynio35% NHL · 1.2y

Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Guillaume Brisebois 15′#66	never stuck	30 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP

853. Melvin Fernström30% NHL · 2.4y

Brandon Gignac 16′#80	never stuck	8 GP
Dylan Sadowy 14′#81	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Fortier 18′#59	never stuck	11 GP
Daniel Bernhardt 15′#119	never stuck	0 GP
Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136	never stuck	0 GP

981. Ty Mueller20% NHL · 2.4y

Adam Brooks 16′#92	never stuck	43 GP
Linus Karlsson 18′#87	36 pk	106 GP
Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165	never stuck	4 GP
Michael Bunting 14′#117	74 pk	418 GP
Lauri Pajuniemi 18′#132	never stuck	0 GP

1029. Aiden Celebrini25% NHL · 2.8y

Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP

1032. Basile Sansonnens33% NHL · 2.7y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

1170. Jackson Dorrington23% NHL · 3.4y

Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Justin Hache 12′#208	never stuck	0 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Jake Dotchin 12′#161	26 pk	103 GP

1290. Danila Klimovich17% NHL · 1y

Marcus Davidsson 17′#37	never stuck	0 GP
Teddy Blueger 12′#52	42 pk	453 GP
Pontus Aberg 12′#37	42 pk	132 GP
Tyler Madden 18′#68	never stuck	0 GP
Martin Frk 12′#49	30 pk	124 GP

1292. Hugo Gabrielson15% NHL · 0.6y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Rushan Rafikov 13′#187	never stuck	0 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Valeri Vasiliev 12′#201	never stuck	0 GP

1384. Matthew Perkins10% NHL · 3.3y

Jimmy Lodge 13′#84	never stuck	0 GP
Ivan Lodnia 17′#85	never stuck	0 GP
Brad Morrison 15′#113	never stuck	0 GP
Damien Giroux 18′#155	never stuck	1 GP
Matteo Gennaro 15′#203	never stuck	0 GP

1387. Vilmer Alriksson7% NHL · 2.3y

Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136	never stuck	0 GP
Dylan Sadowy 14′#81	never stuck	0 GP
Austin Wagner 15′#99	28 pk	178 GP
Anton Blidh 13′#180	never stuck	89 GP
Chandler Stephenson 12′#77	66 pk	653 GP