Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
151	Sawyer Mynio	D	AHLPRO	21.3	VAN*	23′ #89	0.36	13.1	35%	1.2y @22.5	01129	12.9
293	Aiden Celebrini	D	NCAAPRO	21.8	VAN*	23′ #171	0.2	6.7	25%	2.8y @24.6	0026	9.1
296	Basile Sansonnens	D	NLPRO	20	VAN*	24′ #221	0.07	3.1	33%	2.7y @22.7	0426	9.1
360	Jackson Dorrington	D	AHLPRO	22.4	VAN*	22′ #176	0.16	5.7	23%	3.4y @25.8	0026	7.4
397	Hugo Gabrielson	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	23.8	VAN*	21′ #169	0.67	20.8	15%	0.6y @24.4	0029	6.5
468	Jonathan Myrenberg	D	SHLPRO	23.4	VAN*	21′ #140	0.12	6	15%	2.5y @25.9	0024	4.8

Who each prospect looks like

151. Sawyer Mynio35% NHL · 1.2y

Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Guillaume Brisebois 15′#66	never stuck	30 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP

293. Aiden Celebrini25% NHL · 2.8y

Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP

296. Basile Sansonnens33% NHL · 2.7y

Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

360. Jackson Dorrington23% NHL · 3.4y

Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Justin Hache 12′#208	never stuck	0 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Jake Dotchin 12′#161	26 pk	103 GP

397. Hugo Gabrielson15% NHL · 0.6y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Rushan Rafikov 13′#187	never stuck	0 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Valeri Vasiliev 12′#201	never stuck	0 GP

468. Jonathan Myrenberg15% NHL · 2.5y

Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Niklas Tikkinen 12′#148	never stuck	0 GP