Kodo HockeyProspect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Caleb Desnoyers★ | F | LHJMQ | 19.4 | UTA | 25′ #4 | 1.73 | 39.8 | 90% | 0.7y @20.1 | 427095 | 62.5 |
| 8 | Tij Iginla★ | F | WHL | 20 | UTA | 24′ #6 | 1.88 | 46.1 | 90% | 1.4y @21.4 | 354997 | 56.7 |
| 15 | Ethan Belchetz★ | F | OHL | 18.4 | UTA* | 26′ #17 | 1.04 | 25.5 | 82% | 2.8y @21.2 | 294687 | 45.6 |
| 52 | Cole Beaudoin | F | OHL | 20.3 | UTA* | 24′ #24 | 1.65 | 40.5 | 62% | 2.5y @22.8 | 122983 | 32.5 |
| 71 | Adam Valentini | F | NCAA | 18.4 | UTA* | 26′ #96 | 0.68 | 22.7 | 57% | 3.5y @21.9 | 03083 | 31.1 |
| 92 | Yegor Borikov | F | KHLPRO | 21 | UTA* | 25′ #110 | 0.51 | 32.1 | 62% | 1.9y @22.9 | 83258 | 29.6 |
| 213 | Daniil But | F | AHLPRO | 21.5 | UTA | 23′ #12 | 0.95 | 34.3 | 57% | 1.6y @23.1 | 42762 | 25.6 |
| 394 | Gabe Smith | F | LHJMQ | 20 | UTA* | 24′ #103 | 1.28 | 29.5 | 40% | 3.6y @23.6 | 0049 | 18.6 |
| 680 | Florent Houle | F | LHJMQ | 19 | UTA* | 26′ #147 | 0.79 | 18.1 | 20% | 4.1y @23.1 | 0046 | 10.7 |
| 788 | Veeti Väisänen | F | WHL | 20.5 | UTA* | 24′ #96 | 0.49 | 12 | 15% | 3.4y @23.9 | 0023 | 7.7 |
| 926 | Owen Allard | F | AHLPRO | 22.6 | UTA* | 24′ #135 | 0.28 | 9.9 | 12% | 1.3y @23.9 | 0022 | 6 |
Who each prospect looks like
3. Caleb Desnoyers90% NHL · 0.7y
| Barrett Hayton 18′#5 | 46 pk | 358 GP |
| Mitch Marner 15′#4 | 110 pk | 738 GP |
| Bo Horvat 13′#9 | 90 pk | 881 GP |
| Leon Draisaitl 14′#3 | 131 pk | 855 GP |
| William Nylander 14′#8 | 100 pk | 750 GP |
8. Tij Iginla90% NHL · 1.4y
| Timo Meier 15′#9 | 81 pk | 698 GP |
| Nick Suzuki 17′#13 | 101 pk | 537 GP |
| Max Domi 13′#12 | 72 pk | 815 GP |
| Ty Dellandrea 18′#13 | 28 pk | 265 GP |
| Cody Glass 17′#6 | 40 pk | 322 GP |
15. Ethan Belchetz82% NHL · 2.8y
| Liam Foudy 18′#18 | 19 pk | 105 GP |
| Curtis Lazar 13′#17 | 29 pk | 617 GP |
| Dylan Larkin 14′#15 | 83 pk | 808 GP |
| Eeli Tolvanen 17′#30 | 46 pk | 423 GP |
| Scott Laughton 12′#20 | 45 pk | 745 GP |
52. Cole Beaudoin62% NHL · 2.5y
| Morgan Frost 17′#27 | 47 pk | 392 GP |
| Brett Howden 16′#27 | 41 pk | 489 GP |
| Tanner Pearson 12′#30 | 53 pk | 778 GP |
| Brendan Lemieux 14′#31 | 25 pk | 307 GP |
| Jordan Kyrou 16′#35 | 83 pk | 488 GP |
71. Adam Valentini57% NHL · 3.5y
| Jarrod Maidens 12′#82 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| J.T. Compher 13′#35 | 52 pk | 658 GP |
| Daniel Sprong 15′#46 | 57 pk | 374 GP |
| Jake Guentzel 13′#77 | 91 pk | 681 GP |
| Ostap Safin 17′#115 | never stuck | 0 GP |
92. Yegor Borikov62% NHL · 1.9y
| Anton Slepyshev 13′#88 | 20 pk | 102 GP |
| Emil Bemstrom 17′#117 | 33 pk | 242 GP |
| Rudolfs Balcers 15′#142 | 34 pk | 170 GP |
| Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55 | 65 pk | 660 GP |
| Lucas Wallmark 14′#97 | 31 pk | 187 GP |
213. Daniil But57% NHL · 1.6y
| Jake DeBrusk 15′#14 | 64 pk | 628 GP |
| Mitchell Stephens 15′#33 | 18 pk | 123 GP |
| Tyler Benson 16′#32 | never stuck | 38 GP |
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
| Tanner Pearson 12′#30 | 53 pk | 778 GP |
394. Gabe Smith40% NHL · 3.6y
| Noah Gregor 16′#111 | 30 pk | 330 GP |
| Michael Eyssimont 16′#142 | 33 pk | 269 GP |
| Michael Bunting 14′#117 | 74 pk | 418 GP |
| Drake Rymsha 17′#138 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Ivan Lodnia 17′#85 | never stuck | 0 GP |
680. Florent Houle20% NHL · 4.1y
| Luke Johnson 13′#134 | never stuck | 32 GP |
| Jonne Tammela 15′#118 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dominik Kubalik 13′#191 | 56 pk | 357 GP |
| John McCarron 12′#153 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brian Pinho 13′#174 | never stuck | 2 GP |
788. Veeti Väisänen15% NHL · 3.4y
| Max Willman 14′#121 | never stuck | 68 GP |
| Jacob Pivonka 18′#103 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Antoine Morand 17′#60 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Pontus Holmberg 18′#156 | 29 pk | 229 GP |
926. Owen Allard12% NHL · 1.3y
| Conner Bleackley 16′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Igor Shvyrev 17′#125 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jonathan Gruden 18′#95 | never stuck | 16 GP |