Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
72	Dmitri Simashev	D	AHLPRO	21.5	UTA	—	0.88	31.6	47%	2.4y @23.9	01352	18.6
125	Ludvig Johnson	D	NLPRO	20.1	UTA*	25′ #174	0.3	13.6	42%	2.4y @22.5	01129	14.4
244	Gregor Biber	D	SHLPRO	20	UTA*	24′ #98	0.05	2.5	38%	2.5y @22.5	0429	10.4
253	Tomas Lavoie	D	LHJMQ	20.4	UTA*	24′ #89	0.85	19.5	25%	2.4y @22.8	0038	10.2
286	Maveric Lamoureux	D	AHLPRO	22.6	UTA	22′ #29	0.31	11.1	23%	0.9y @23.5	0027	9.2
518	Ludvig Lafton	D	USHL	20.6	UTA*	24′ #190	0.62	12.3	10%	4.3y @24.9	0014	3.9
584	Will Skahan	D	NCAA	20.3	UTA*	24′ #65	0.03	1.1	10%	3.3y @23.6	004	2.6

Who each prospect looks like

72. Dmitri Simashev47% NHL · 2.4y

Sebastian Aho 17′#139	27 pk	190 GP
Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP

125. Ludvig Johnson42% NHL · 2.4y

Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

244. Gregor Biber38% NHL · 2.5y

Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP

253. Tomas Lavoie25% NHL · 2.4y

David Farrance 17′#92	never stuck	2 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Louie Belpedio 14′#80	never stuck	16 GP
Brandon Montour 14′#55	75 pk	665 GP
Cole Hults 17′#134	never stuck	0 GP

286. Maveric Lamoureux23% NHL · 0.9y

Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Jordan Schmaltz 12′#25	never stuck	42 GP

518. Ludvig Lafton10% NHL · 4.3y

Gianluca Curcuruto 12′#182	never stuck	0 GP
Ryan Shea 15′#121	36 pk	150 GP
Matthew Berkovitz 14′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Cole Candella 16′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Kyle Jenkins 14′#187	never stuck	0 GP

584. Will Skahan10% NHL · 3.3y

Nikolas Koberstein 14′#125	never stuck	0 GP
Brandon Hickey 14′#64	never stuck	0 GP
Johnathan MacLeod 14′#57	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP