Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | Oleg Kulebiakin★ | F | LHJMQ | 18.6 | TBL* | 26′ #52 | 1.14 | 26.2 | 65% | 3.2y @21.8 | 03468 | 34.1 |
| 1140 | Everett Baldwin | D | LHJMQ | 19.6 | TBL* | 25′ #151 | 0.71 | 16.3 | 23% | 3.7y @23.3 | 0026 | 7.7 |
| 1285 | Jan Golicic | D | LHJMQ | 20.1 | TBL* | 24′ #118 | 0.69 | 15.8 | 23% | 5.7y @25.8 | 0022 | 6.6 |
| 1762 | Max Vilen | D | LHJMQ | 20.1 | TBL* | 26′ #218 | 0.51 | 11.6 | 7% | 5.7y @25.8 | 0014 | 3.2 |
Who each prospect looks like
44. Oleg Kulebiakin65% NHL · 3.2y
| Daniel Sprong 15′#46 | 57 pk | 374 GP |
| Jake Guentzel 13′#77 | 91 pk | 681 GP |
| J.T. Compher 13′#35 | 52 pk | 658 GP |
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan 17′#41 | 27 pk | 134 GP |
| Jarrod Maidens 12′#82 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1140. Everett Baldwin23% NHL · 3.7y
| Zachary Leslie 13′#178 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Simon Bourque 15′#177 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brett Kulak 12′#105 | 25 pk | 663 GP |
| Colby Williams 15′#173 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jeremy Davies 16′#192 | never stuck | 23 GP |
1285. Jan Golicic23% NHL · 5.7y
| Dysin Mayo 14′#133 | never stuck | 85 GP |
| Carl Neill 15′#144 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Joey Keane 18′#88 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Danila Zhuravlyov 18′#146 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cole Hults 17′#134 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1762. Max Vilen7% NHL · 5.7y
| Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| William Reilly 17′#217 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kyle Burroughs 13′#196 | 10 pk | 201 GP |
| Jacob Friend 16′#202 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Wyatt Kalynuk 17′#196 | never stuck | 26 GP |