Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
1118	Adam Jecho	F	WHL	20.4	STL*	24′ #95	0.77	18.8	15%	2.5y @22.9	0024	8.1
1765	William Mcisaac	D	WHL	20.2	STL*	24′ #145	0.52	12.7	7%	5.6y @25.8	0014	3.2

Who each prospect looks like

1118. Adam Jecho15% NHL · 2.5y

Christophe Lalancette 12′#109	never stuck	0 GP
Viktor Crus Rydberg 13′#136	never stuck	0 GP
Samuel Dove-McFalls 15′#98	never stuck	0 GP
Felix Girard 13′#95	never stuck	0 GP
Dmitry Zhukenov 15′#114	never stuck	0 GP

1765. William Mcisaac7% NHL · 5.6y

Vladislav Yeryomenko 18′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Miles Liberati 13′#205	never stuck	0 GP
Kyle Burroughs 13′#196	10 pk	201 GP
Steven Johnson 14′#120	never stuck	0 GP