Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
150	Jani Nyman	F	AHLPRO	22.1	SEA*	22′ #49	0.85	30.5	60%	1y @23.1	03065	28.1
154	Oscar Fisker Molgaard	F	AHLPRO	21.5	SEA*	23′ #52	0.69	25	62%	1.6y @23.1	153253	28.1
224	Eduard Sale	F	AHLPRO	21.4	SEA	23′ #20	0.47	16.8	62%	1.2y @22.6	02755	25.7
305	Viktor Fedorov	F	VHLPRO	18.5	SEA*	26′ #99	0.25	6.1	50%	3.7y @22.2	01661	22.6
344	Jagger Firkus	F	AHLPRO	22.3	SEA	22′ #35	0.89	32.1	50%	0.8y @23.1	02442	21.6
483	Zaccharya Wisdom	F	NCAAPRO	22.3	SEA*	23′ #212	0.77	25.9	33%	1.4y @23.7	01551	18.4
518	Tyson Jugnauth	D	AHLPRO	22.3	SEA*	22′ #100	0.62	22.6	40%	1.7y @24	01344	17.2
522	Ty Nelson	D	AHLPRO	22.4	SEA*	22′ #68	0.56	20	35%	1.4y @23.8	01352	17.1
569	Carson Rehkopf	F	AHLPRO	21.6	SEA*	23′ #50	0.28	9.9	42%	1.6y @23.2	01237	16
574	Barrett Hall	F	NCAAPRO	22.6	SEA*	22′ #164	0.78	26.1	28%	1.1y @23.7	0048	15.8
593	Loke Krantz	F	SHLPRO	19.3	SEA*	25′ #218	0.07	3.2	33%	3.5y @22.8	0055	15.6
693	Karl Annborn	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.5	SEA*	25′ #205	0.38	11.8	40%	2.9y @22.4	01129	13.7
722	Caden Price	D	AHLPRO	21	SEA*	23′ #84	0.26	9.4	42%	1.7y @22.7	01129	13.1
787	Maxim Agafonov	D	VHLPRO	19.4	SEA*	25′ #134	0.18	4.4	40%	3y @22.4	01129	12.3
854	Ben MacDonald	F	NCAAPRO	22.5	SEA*	22′ #91	0.43	14.6	25%	1.5y @24	0033	11.3
863	Lukas Dragicevic	D	AHLPRO	21.3	SEA*	23′ #57	0.26	9.2	38%	1.5y @22.8	0729	11.2
901	Andrei Loshko	F	AHLPRO	21.9	SEA*	23′ #116	0.27	9.9	20%	1.1y @23	0028	10.7
940	Tucker Robertson	F	AHLPRO	23.2	SEA*	22′ #123	0.44	16	20%	2.1y @25.3	0033	10.3
965	Jacob Melanson	F	AHLPRO	23.3	SEA*	21′ #131	0.68	24.5	20%	2.5y @25.8	0036	10
1076	Kaden Hammell	D	AHLPRO	21.4	SEA*	23′ #148	0.3	10.7	25%	2.7y @24.1	0023	8.6
1171	David Goyette	F	AHLPRO	22.4	SEA*	22′ #61	0.2	7.1	23%	1.2y @23.6	0026	7.4
1225	Zeb Forsfjall	F	SHLPRO	21.6	SEA*	23′ #180	0.14	6.9	12%	1.6y @23.2	0025	7
1616	Ville Ottavainen	D	AHLPRO	24	SEA*	21′ #99	0.32	11.6	10%	2.1y @26.1	0015	4

Who each prospect looks like

150. Jani Nyman60% NHL · 1y

Kirill Marchenko 18′#49	77 pk	292 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Alexander Volkov 17′#48	never stuck	46 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP

154. Oscar Fisker Molgaard62% NHL · 1.6y

Kevin Stenlund 15′#58	28 pk	368 GP
Kole Lind 17′#33	never stuck	31 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP
Brendan Leipsic 12′#89	33 pk	187 GP
Sven Andrighetto 13′#86	36 pk	216 GP

224. Eduard Sale62% NHL · 1.2y

Zach Senyshyn 15′#15	never stuck	16 GP
Adam Erne 13′#33	36 pk	424 GP
Brendan Gaunce 12′#26	20 pk	214 GP
Hunter Shinkaruk 13′#24	never stuck	15 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP

305. Viktor Fedorov50% NHL · 3.7y

Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Turgeon 14′#63	never stuck	9 GP
Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Taylor Leier 12′#117	never stuck	55 GP
Givani Smith 16′#46	12 pk	168 GP

344. Jagger Firkus50% NHL · 0.8y

Jonatan Berggren 18′#33	36 pk	205 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Egor Korshkov 16′#31	never stuck	1 GP
Kole Lind 17′#33	never stuck	31 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP

483. Zaccharya Wisdom33% NHL · 1.4y

Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Andreas Johnsson 13′#202	48 pk	259 GP
Riley Barber 12′#167	never stuck	16 GP
Rourke Chartier 14′#149	never stuck	56 GP
Cameron Hughes 15′#165	never stuck	5 GP

518. Tyson Jugnauth40% NHL · 1.7y

Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Andrei Mironov 15′#101	never stuck	10 GP
Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP

522. Ty Nelson35% NHL · 1.4y

Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
Sean Durzi 18′#52	44 pk	302 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP

569. Carson Rehkopf42% NHL · 1.6y

Brendan Lemieux 14′#31	25 pk	307 GP
Valentin Zykov 13′#37	never stuck	55 GP
Dylan Sadowy 14′#81	never stuck	0 GP
Chandler Stephenson 12′#77	66 pk	653 GP
Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP

574. Barrett Hall28% NHL · 1.1y

Rourke Chartier 14′#149	never stuck	56 GP
Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170	never stuck	6 GP
Dmytro Timashov 15′#125	never stuck	45 GP
Andreas Johnsson 13′#202	48 pk	259 GP
Jake Evans 14′#207	36 pk	418 GP

593. Loke Krantz33% NHL · 3.5y

Beck Malenstyn 16′#145	21 pk	262 GP
Matia Marcantuoni 12′#92	never stuck	0 GP
Maksim Sushko 17′#107	never stuck	2 GP
Brandon Gignac 16′#80	never stuck	8 GP
Drake Rymsha 17′#138	never stuck	1 GP

693. Karl Annborn40% NHL · 2.9y

Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP