Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483 | Zaccharya Wisdom | F | NCAAPRO | 22.3 | SEA* | 23′ #212 | 0.77 | 25.9 | 33% | 1.4y @23.7 | 01551 | 18.4 |
| 574 | Barrett Hall | F | NCAAPRO | 22.6 | SEA* | 22′ #164 | 0.78 | 26.1 | 28% | 1.1y @23.7 | 0048 | 15.8 |
| 854 | Ben MacDonald | F | NCAAPRO | 22.5 | SEA* | 22′ #91 | 0.43 | 14.6 | 25% | 1.5y @24 | 0033 | 11.3 |
| 1338 | Clarke Caswell | F | NCAA | 20.5 | SEA* | 24′ #141 | 0.79 | 26.6 | 10% | 3.7y @24.2 | 0021 | 6.2 |
| 1343 | Ollie Josephson | F | NCAA | 20.1 | SEA* | 24′ #105 | 0.53 | 17.7 | 12% | 2.7y @22.8 | 0021 | 6.1 |
Who each prospect looks like
483. Zaccharya Wisdom33% NHL · 1.4y
| Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| Andreas Johnsson 13′#202 | 48 pk | 259 GP |
| Riley Barber 12′#167 | never stuck | 16 GP |
| Rourke Chartier 14′#149 | never stuck | 56 GP |
| Cameron Hughes 15′#165 | never stuck | 5 GP |
574. Barrett Hall28% NHL · 1.1y
| Rourke Chartier 14′#149 | never stuck | 56 GP |
| Jonathan Davidsson 17′#170 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| Dmytro Timashov 15′#125 | never stuck | 45 GP |
| Andreas Johnsson 13′#202 | 48 pk | 259 GP |
| Jake Evans 14′#207 | 36 pk | 418 GP |
854. Ben MacDonald25% NHL · 1.5y
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Gemel Smith 12′#104 | never stuck | 91 GP |
| Ryan Kujawinski 13′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Keegan Kolesar 15′#69 | 30 pk | 439 GP |
| Anton Karlsson 14′#87 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1338. Clarke Caswell10% NHL · 3.7y
| Mathieu Joseph 15′#120 | 40 pk | 471 GP |
| Kyle Olson 17′#122 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Christopher Brown 14′#151 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brett Stapley 18′#190 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dmitry Zhukenov 15′#114 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1343. Ollie Josephson12% NHL · 2.7y
| Nate Smith 18′#91 | never stuck | 14 GP |
| Jack Gorniak 18′#123 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Logan Nelson 12′#133 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Spencer Smallman 15′#138 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Aapeli Rasanen 16′#153 | never stuck | 0 GP |