Kodo HockeyProspect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | William Horcoff | F | NCAA | 19.6 | PIT | 25′ #24 | 0.97 | 32.8 | 68% | 2.4y @22 | 163571 | 36.1 |
| 203 | Zam Plante | F | NCAAPRO | 22 | PIT | 22′ #150 | 1.25 | 42 | 57% | 1.1y @23.1 | 02951 | 26.6 |
| 971 | Charlton Trethewey | D | NCAA | 19.1 | PIT* | 25′ #73 | 0.29 | 9.9 | 25% | 3.2y @22.3 | 0029 | 10 |
| 1416 | Luke Devlin | F | NCAAPRO | 22.4 | PIT* | 22′ #182 | 0.25 | 8.4 | 7% | 1.5y @23.9 | 0022 | 5.3 |
| 1478 | Nolan Collins | D | NCAAPRO | 22.3 | PIT* | 22′ #167 | 0.08 | 2.7 | 15% | 2.7y @25 | 0020 | 4.8 |
| 1878 | Mac Swanson | F | NCAA | 20.6 | PIT* | 24′ #207 | 0.7 | 23.5 | 7% | 2.4y @23 | 000 | 2.4 |
Who each prospect looks like
33. William Horcoff68% NHL · 2.4y
| Luke Kunin 16′#15 | 41 pk | 496 GP |
| Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42 | never stuck | 61 GP |
| Emile Poirier 13′#22 | never stuck | 8 GP |
| Jakub Vrana 14′#13 | 62 pk | 406 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
203. Zam Plante57% NHL · 1.1y
| Jacob Peterson 17′#132 | never stuck | 83 GP |
| Oskar Lindblom 14′#138 | 49 pk | 337 GP |
| Riley Damiani 18′#137 | never stuck | 7 GP |
| Maxim Mamin 16′#175 | never stuck | 73 GP |
| Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75 | 87 pk | 674 GP |
971. Charlton Trethewey25% NHL · 3.2y
| Gustav Olofsson 13′#46 | never stuck | 63 GP |
| Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85 | 44 pk | 596 GP |
| Veeti Vainio 15′#141 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jaccob Slavin 12′#120 | 44 pk | 784 GP |
| Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1416. Luke Devlin7% NHL · 1.5y
| Matteo Gennaro 15′#203 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Damien Giroux 18′#155 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Gabriel Fontaine 16′#171 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Pavel Koltygin 17′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1478. Nolan Collins15% NHL · 2.7y
| Simon Bourque 15′#177 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Anton Lindholm 14′#144 | never stuck | 66 GP |
| Jake Dotchin 12′#161 | 26 pk | 103 GP |
| Xavier Bernard 18′#110 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Justin Hache 12′#208 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1878. Mac Swanson7% NHL · 2.4y
| Blaine Byron 13′#179 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Christopher Brown 14′#151 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Aarne Talvitie 17′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tomas Hyka 12′#171 | never stuck | 27 GP |
| Ryan Olsen 12′#160 | never stuck | 0 GP |