Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
56	Harrison Brunicke	D	WHL	20.3	PIT*	24′ #44	1	24.6	55%	2.5y @22.8	02151	20.3
133	Owen Pickering	D	AHLPRO	22.6	PIT*	22′ #21	0.41	14.9	35%	0.7y @23.3	01132	13.8
261	Charlton Trethewey	D	NCAA	19.1	PIT*	25′ #73	0.29	9.9	25%	3.2y @22.3	0029	10
275	Finn Harding	D	AHLPRO	21.5	PIT*	24′ #223	0.41	14.7	30%	2.6y @24.1	0026	9.6
310	Quinn Beauchesne	D	OHL	19.5	PIT*	25′ #148	0.62	15.4	28%	4.6y @24.1	0029	8.8
319	Kalle Kangas	D	LIIGAPRO	21.5	PIT*	23′ #223	0.1	4.3	25%	3.1y @24.6	0026	8.7
320	Chase Pietila	D	AHLPRO	22.5	PIT*	24′ #111	0.24	8.7	28%	1.6y @24.1	0026	8.6
348	Parker von Richter	D	OHL	20.3	PIT*	26′ #111	0.71	17.5	20%	2.5y @22.8	0024	7.9
424	Brady Peddle	D	LHJMQ	19.2	PIT*	25′ #91	0.31	7	17%	3.1y @22.3	0026	6
467	Nolan Collins	D	NCAAPRO	22.3	PIT*	22′ #167	0.08	2.7	15%	2.7y @25	0020	4.8
554	Isaac Belliveau	D	AHLPRO	23.7	PIT*	21′ #154	0.17	6	10%	2.4y @26.1	0015	3.1

Who each prospect looks like

56. Harrison Brunicke55% NHL · 2.5y

Calen Addison 18′#53	38 pk	152 GP
Jordan Harris 18′#71	21 pk	172 GP
Brycen Martin 14′#74	never stuck	0 GP
Chad Krys 16′#45	never stuck	0 GP
Brandon Montour 14′#55	75 pk	665 GP

133. Owen Pickering35% NHL · 0.7y

Jordan Schmaltz 12′#25	never stuck	42 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Madison Bowey 13′#53	26 pk	158 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP

261. Charlton Trethewey25% NHL · 3.2y

Gustav Olofsson 13′#46	never stuck	63 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Jaccob Slavin 12′#120	44 pk	784 GP
Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP

275. Finn Harding30% NHL · 2.6y

Declan Chisholm 18′#150	23 pk	125 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP

310. Quinn Beauchesne28% NHL · 4.6y

MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Connor Carrick 12′#137	29 pk	242 GP

319. Kalle Kangas25% NHL · 3.1y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

320. Chase Pietila28% NHL · 1.6y

Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Jake Walman 14′#82	52 pk	320 GP
Connor Hobbs 15′#143	never stuck	0 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP

348. Parker von Richter20% NHL · 2.5y

David Farrance 17′#92	never stuck	2 GP
Joey Keane 18′#88	never stuck	2 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Cole Hults 17′#134	never stuck	0 GP
Louie Belpedio 14′#80	never stuck	16 GP

424. Brady Peddle17% NHL · 3.1y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Jeff Taylor 14′#203	never stuck	0 GP
Jaccob Slavin 12′#120	44 pk	784 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP

467. Nolan Collins15% NHL · 2.7y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Jake Dotchin 12′#161	26 pk	103 GP
Xavier Bernard 18′#110	never stuck	0 GP
Justin Hache 12′#208	never stuck	0 GP

554. Isaac Belliveau10% NHL · 2.4y

Colby Williams 15′#173	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Callahan 18′#142	never stuck	22 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Lewington 13′#204	never stuck	12 GP