Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
Org:AllANAARIBOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jack Nesbitt | F | OHL | 19.6 | PHI | 25′ #12 | 1.05 | 25.9 | 72% | 2.2y @21.8 | 273971 | 41 |
| 35 | Jett Luchanko | F | OHL | 20 | PHI | 24′ #13 | 1.22 | 30.1 | 65% | 2.4y @22.4 | 203465 | 35.5 |
| 341 | Maksim Sokolovskii | D | OHL | 18.1 | PHI* | 26′ #27 | 0.18 | 4.5 | 50% | 3.9y @22 | 01655 | 21.7 |
Who each prospect looks like
24. Jack Nesbitt72% NHL · 2.2y
| Jake DeBrusk 15′#14 | 64 pk | 628 GP |
| Michael McLeod 16′#12 | 35 pk | 287 GP |
| Jack Roslovic 15′#25 | 58 pk | 595 GP |
| Vitali Kravtsov 18′#9 | never stuck | 64 GP |
| Ryan Poehling 17′#25 | 39 pk | 358 GP |
35. Jett Luchanko65% NHL · 2.4y
| Jake DeBrusk 15′#14 | 64 pk | 628 GP |
| Joshua Ho-Sang 14′#28 | never stuck | 53 GP |
| Jesper Boqvist 17′#36 | 34 pk | 387 GP |
| Nikita Scherbak 14′#26 | never stuck | 37 GP |
| Jonatan Berggren 18′#33 | 36 pk | 205 GP |
341. Maksim Sokolovskii50% NHL · 3.9y
| Brady Skjei 12′#28 | 48 pk | 773 GP |
| Filip Westerlund 17′#44 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Keaton Thompson 13′#87 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Steven Santini 13′#42 | 23 pk | 136 GP |
| Ian McCoshen 13′#31 | never stuck | 60 GP |