Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
38	Maksim Sokolovskii	D	OHL	18.1	PHI*	26′ #27	0.18	4.5	50%	3.9y @22	01655	21.7
54	Oliver Bonk	D	AHLPRO	21.6	PHI	23′ #22	0.41	14.9	60%	1.2y @22.8	82244	20.8
87	Brek Liske	D	WHL	18.6	PHI*	26′ #53	0.46	11.4	47%	4y @22.6	01644	16.9
250	Carter Sotheran	D	WHL	21.1	PHI*	23′ #135	1.05	25.8	28%	2.7y @23.8	0036	10.2
274	David Jiříček	D	AHLPRO	22.7	PHI	—	0.52	18.9	33%	1.8y @24.5	0029	9.7
300	Ethan Samson	D	AHLPRO	23	PHI*	21′ #174	0.44	15.9	28%	1.9y @24.9	0027	8.9
335	Matteo Mann	D	NCAAPRO	21.6	PHI*	23′ #199	0.07	2.4	25%	2.5y @24.1	0026	8.4
368	Carter Amico	D	USHL	19.4	PHI*	25′ #38	0.41	8	23%	2.7y @22.1	0026	7.2
555	Ty Murchison	D	AHLPRO	23.5	PHI*	21′ #158	0.21	7.5	10%	2.6y @26.1	0015	3.1
596	Luke Vlooswyk	D	WHL	19.6	PHI*	25′ #157	0.18	4.4	10%	6.5y @26.1	000	2.1
600	Brian Zanetti	D	NLPRO	23.4	PHI*	21′ #110	0.13	6.1	5%	2.7y @26.1	000	1.8

Who each prospect looks like

38. Maksim Sokolovskii50% NHL · 3.9y

Brady Skjei 12′#28	48 pk	773 GP
Filip Westerlund 17′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Keaton Thompson 13′#87	never stuck	0 GP
Steven Santini 13′#42	23 pk	136 GP
Ian McCoshen 13′#31	never stuck	60 GP

54. Oliver Bonk60% NHL · 1.2y

Matthew Finn 12′#35	never stuck	0 GP
Lucas Johansen 16′#28	never stuck	9 GP
Pierre-Olivier Joseph 17′#23	23 pk	225 GP
Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP
Travis Sanheim 14′#17	45 pk	660 GP

87. Brek Liske47% NHL · 4y

Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Brady Skjei 12′#28	48 pk	773 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP

250. Carter Sotheran28% NHL · 2.7y

Jake Walman 14′#82	52 pk	320 GP
Sebastian Aho 17′#139	27 pk	190 GP
Joseph Masonius 16′#181	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Mitchell Vande Sompel 15′#82	never stuck	0 GP

274. David Jiříček33% NHL · 1.8y

Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Jake Middleton 14′#210	26 pk	381 GP
Ville Rasanen 17′#197	never stuck	0 GP
Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP

300. Ethan Samson28% NHL · 1.9y

Luc Snuggerud 14′#141	never stuck	0 GP
MacKenzie Weegar 13′#206	55 pk	629 GP
Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Ville Rasanen 17′#197	never stuck	0 GP
Filip Kral 18′#149	never stuck	2 GP

335. Matteo Mann25% NHL · 2.5y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

368. Carter Amico23% NHL · 2.7y

Ryan Lindgren 16′#49	29 pk	481 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Dylan Blujus 12′#40	never stuck	0 GP

555. Ty Murchison10% NHL · 2.6y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Dysin Mayo 14′#133	never stuck	85 GP
Aleksi Makela 13′#182	never stuck	0 GP

596. Luke Vlooswyk10% NHL · 6.5y

Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207	never stuck	0 GP
Casey Staum 16′#124	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Karow 17′#126	never stuck	0 GP
Terrance Amorosa 13′#132	never stuck	0 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP

600. Brian Zanetti5% NHL · 2.7y

Keaton Thompson 13′#87	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Prapavessis 14′#105	never stuck	0 GP
Devante Stephens 15′#122	never stuck	0 GP
Niklas Hansson 13′#68	never stuck	0 GP
Nico Gross 18′#101	never stuck	0 GP