Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
552	Alexander Grunin	D	MHL	18.1	OTT*	26′ #183	0.34	5	40%	4.7y @22.8	01545	16.4
885	Dmitri Isayev	F	MHL	19.2	OTT*	25′ #149	1.39	20.5	20%	3.6y @22.8	0046	11

Who each prospect looks like

552. Alexander Grunin40% NHL · 4.7y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Keaton Thompson 13′#87	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Tanner Faith 14′#139	never stuck	0 GP

885. Dmitri Isayev20% NHL · 3.6y

John McCarron 12′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Brian Pinho 13′#174	never stuck	2 GP
Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Frederik Tiffels 15′#167	never stuck	0 GP