Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 | Carter Yakemchuk | D | AHLPRO | 20.9 | OTT | 24′ #7 | 0.74 | 26.7 | 62% | 1.9y @22.8 | 132652 | 24.9 |
| 855 | Jorian Donovan | D | AHLPRO | 22.4 | OTT* | 22′ #136 | 0.34 | 12.4 | 38% | 2.1y @24.5 | 0029 | 11.3 |
| 912 | Tyler Boucher | F | AHLPRO | 23.6 | OTT | 21′ #10 | 0.55 | 20 | 30% | 0.6y @24.2 | 0034 | 10.6 |
| 913 | Jorian Donovan | D | AHLPRO | 22.3 | OTT* | 22′ #136 | 0.34 | 12.4 | 35% | 1.9y @24.2 | 0026 | 10.6 |
| 1418 | Tomas Hamara | D | AHLPRO | 22.4 | OTT* | 22′ #87 | 0.12 | 4.5 | 17% | 2.9y @25.3 | 0022 | 5.3 |
| 1470 | Tomas Hamara | D | AHLPRO | 23.4 | OTT* | 22′ #87 | 0.12 | 4.5 | 12% | 2.4y @25.8 | 0024 | 4.9 |
Who each prospect looks like
239. Carter Yakemchuk62% NHL · 1.9y
| Julius Honka 14′#14 | never stuck | 87 GP |
| Tony DeAngelo 14′#19 | 65 pk | 482 GP |
| Ryan Pulock 13′#15 | 42 pk | 636 GP |
| Haydn Fleury 14′#7 | 26 pk | 345 GP |
| Olli Juolevi 16′#5 | never stuck | 41 GP |
855. Jorian Donovan38% NHL · 2.1y
| Jakub Galvas 17′#150 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| Connor Hobbs 15′#143 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Linus Hogberg 16′#139 | never stuck | 5 GP |
| Tyler Tucker 18′#200 | 20 pk | 159 GP |
| Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98 | never stuck | 4 GP |
912. Tyler Boucher30% NHL · 0.6y
| Dominik Bokk 18′#25 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Morgan Klimchuk 13′#28 | never stuck | 1 GP |
| Marcus Davidsson 17′#37 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32 | never stuck | 98 GP |
| Pontus Aberg 12′#37 | 42 pk | 132 GP |
913. Jorian Donovan35% NHL · 1.9y
| Jakub Galvas 17′#150 | never stuck | 6 GP |
| Connor Hobbs 15′#143 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Lucas Carlsson 16′#110 | never stuck | 73 GP |
| Tyler Tucker 18′#200 | 20 pk | 159 GP |
| Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98 | never stuck | 4 GP |
1418. Tomas Hamara17% NHL · 2.9y
| Ryan Culkin 12′#124 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dylan Labbe 13′#107 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Carl Dahlstrom 13′#51 | never stuck | 67 GP |
| Blake Siebenaler 14′#77 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jonathan-Ismael Diaby 13′#64 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1470. Tomas Hamara12% NHL · 2.4y
| Jake Massie 15′#156 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Calle Sjalin 17′#145 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan Culkin 12′#124 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brandon Hickey 14′#64 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Petter Hansson 15′#202 | never stuck | 0 GP |