Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
Org:AllANAARIBOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 | Nathan Aspinall | F | OHL | 20.4 | NYR* | 24′ #159 | 1.45 | 35.6 | 30% | 3.2y @23.6 | 0047 | 14.3 |
| 690 | Spencer Bowes | F | OHL | 18.9 | NYR* | 26′ #102 | 0.63 | 15.4 | 30% | 4.2y @23.1 | 0046 | 13.7 |
| 1261 | Andre Mondoux | D | OHL | 19.4 | NYR* | 26′ #162 | 0.27 | 6.7 | 20% | 3.9y @23.3 | 0026 | 6.8 |
| 1607 | Evan Passmore | D | OHL | 19.7 | NYR* | 25′ #171 | 0.15 | 3.7 | 12% | 3.6y @23.3 | 0017 | 4.1 |
| 1951 | Darian Anderson | F | OHL | 19.7 | NYR* | 26′ #163 | 0.75 | 18.4 | 5% | 4.4y @24.1 | 000 | 1.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
655. Nathan Aspinall30% NHL · 3.2y
| Henri Ikonen 13′#154 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Michael Spacek 15′#108 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Giorgio Estephan 15′#152 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Francis Perron 14′#190 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Tyler Soy 16′#205 | never stuck | 0 GP |
690. Spencer Bowes30% NHL · 4.2y
| Luke Johnson 13′#134 | never stuck | 32 GP |
| Jonne Tammela 15′#118 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dominik Kubalik 13′#191 | 56 pk | 357 GP |
| Shane Eiserman 14′#100 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexandre Texier 17′#45 | 46 pk | 283 GP |
1261. Andre Mondoux20% NHL · 3.9y
| Matt Benning 12′#175 | 26 pk | 465 GP |
| John Gilmour 13′#198 | never stuck | 37 GP |
| Blake Hillman 16′#173 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Massie 15′#156 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1607. Evan Passmore12% NHL · 3.6y
| Adam Smith 16′#198 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Blake Hillman 16′#173 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Spencer Stastney 18′#131 | 25 pk | 117 GP |
| Clifford Watson 12′#168 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jake Massie 15′#156 | never stuck | 0 GP |
1951. Darian Anderson5% NHL · 4.4y
| Cristiano Digiacinto 14′#170 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Matthew Bradley 15′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ryan McGregor 17′#172 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexander Delnov 12′#114 | never stuck | 0 GP |