Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
65	Victor Eklund	F	SHLPRO	19.9	NYI	25′ #16	0.56	27	65%	2.5y @22.4	183068	32.2
72	Danny Nelson	F	NCAAPRO	21	NYI*	23′ #49	0.81	27.1	72%	1.9y @22.9	183361	31.7
76	Kashawn Aitcheson	D	OHL	19.9	NYI*	25′ #17	1.25	30.8	75%	2.3y @22.2	142965	31.4
140	Cole Eiserman	F	NCAA	20	NYI	24′ #20	0.88	29.4	57%	2.5y @22.5	03061	28.4
156	Daniil Prokhorov	F	VHLPRO	19.3	NYI*	25′ #42	0.72	17.7	55%	3.1y @22.4	02568	28.1
217	Quinn Finley	F	NCAAPRO	22	NYI*	22′ #78	0.89	30	57%	1.3y @23.3	02951	25.9
354	Malte Gustafsson	D	SHLPRO	18.2	NYI	26′ #13	0.11	5.4	60%	4.2y @22.4	112245	21.4
712	Jacob Kvasnicka	F	WHL	19	NYI*	25′ #202	1.31	32.2	25%	3.9y @22.9	0048	13.3
745	Artyom Matyuk	F	MHL	18.8	NYI*	26′ #173	0.72	10.7	30%	5.2y @24	0046	12.9
757	Vladimir Dravecky	D	OHL	18.7	NYI*	26′ #141	0.48	11.9	33%	4.3y @23	0044	12.7
784	Isaiah George	D	AHLPRO	22.5	NYI*	22′ #98	0.38	13.8	38%	2y @24.5	0727	12.3
815	Luca Romano	F	OHL	19.2	NYI*	25′ #74	0.6	14.8	28%	3.9y @23.1	0046	11.8
836	Xavier Veilleux	D	NCAA	20.4	NYI*	24′ #179	0.76	25.7	33%	2.4y @22.8	0031	11.6
860	Lincoln Kuehne	D	NCAA	18.7	NYI*	26′ #109	0.07	2.2	30%	4.2y @22.9	0029	11.3
881	Jesse Pulkkinen	D	AHLPRO	21.6	NYI*	24′ #54	0.1	3.6	33%	1.2y @22.8	0429	11
961	Kamil Bednarik	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	24′ #61	0.46	15.4	17%	2.6y @22.8	0043	10.1
1101	Justin Gill	F	NCAAPRO	23.6	NYI*	23′ #145	0.97	32.7	12%	0.9y @24.5	0037	8.3
1169	Robert Cowan	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	26′ #205	0.62	20.7	15%	2.7y @22.9	0036	7.5
1202	Calle Odelius	D	AHLPRO	22.2	NYI*	22′ #65	0.15	5.4	25%	1.9y @24.1	0026	7.1
1324	Tomas Poletin	F	WHL	19.3	NYI*	25′ #106	0.81	20	17%	3.8y @23.1	0027	6.3
1469	Matthew Maggio	F	AHLPRO	23.7	NYI*	22′ #142	0.52	18.9	12%	3.1y @26.8	0027	4.9
1482	Jesse Nurmi	F	OHL	21.5	NYI*	23′ #113	1.03	25.4	10%	1.5y @23	0020	4.8
1699	Tomas Machu	D	NCAAPRO	23.5	NYI*	21′ #221	0.11	3.8	15%	2.4y @25.9	0020	3.5
1794	Sam Laurila	D	NCAA	20	NYI*	25′ #138	0.28	9.3	7%	5y @25	0015	3.1
1833	Eetu Liukas	F	AHLPRO	23.9	NYI*	21′ #157	0.42	15	7%	3.5y @27.4	000	2.7

Who each prospect looks like

65. Victor Eklund65% NHL · 2.5y

Jake DeBrusk 15′#14	64 pk	628 GP
Jakub Vrana 14′#13	62 pk	406 GP
Grigori Denisenko 18′#15	never stuck	33 GP
Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP

72. Danny Nelson72% NHL · 1.9y

Tanner Pearson 12′#30	53 pk	778 GP
Filip Hallander 18′#58	never stuck	16 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Eetu Luostarinen 17′#42	43 pk	447 GP

76. Kashawn Aitcheson75% NHL · 2.3y

Tony DeAngelo 14′#19	65 pk	482 GP
Nils Lundkvist 18′#28	26 pk	235 GP
Juuso Välimäki 17′#16	36 pk	271 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP

140. Cole Eiserman57% NHL · 2.5y

Kieffer Bellows 16′#19	35 pk	114 GP
Ryan Hartman 13′#30	65 pk	725 GP
Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42	never stuck	61 GP
Emile Poirier 13′#22	never stuck	8 GP
Luke Kunin 16′#15	41 pk	496 GP

156. Daniil Prokhorov55% NHL · 3.1y

Adrian Kempe 14′#29	80 pk	711 GP
Vladislav Kamenev 14′#42	never stuck	66 GP
Joel Eriksson Ek 15′#20	68 pk	614 GP
Brock McGinn 12′#47	31 pk	534 GP
Joe Veleno 18′#30	29 pk	367 GP

217. Quinn Finley57% NHL · 1.3y

Connor Dewar 18′#92	32 pk	316 GP
Aleksi Saarela 15′#89	never stuck	9 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP
Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP

354. Malte Gustafsson60% NHL · 4.2y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

712. Jacob Kvasnicka25% NHL · 3.9y

Vinnie Hinostroza 12′#169	44 pk	477 GP
Anthony Duclair 13′#80	64 pk	669 GP
Mason Shaw 17′#97	never stuck	82 GP
Kevin Roy 12′#97	never stuck	28 GP
Gregory Chase 13′#188	never stuck	0 GP

745. Artyom Matyuk30% NHL · 5.2y

Matthew Deblouw 12′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
Jesper Bratt 16′#162	89 pk	634 GP

757. Vladimir Dravecky33% NHL · 4.3y

Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP

784. Isaiah George38% NHL · 2y

Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Jacob Bryson 17′#99	19 pk	304 GP

815. Luca Romano28% NHL · 3.9y

Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Joni Ikonen 17′#58	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP