Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
76	Kashawn Aitcheson	D	OHL	19.9	NYI*	25′ #17	1.25	30.8	75%	2.3y @22.2	142965	31.4
140	Cole Eiserman	F	NCAA	20	NYI	24′ #20	0.88	29.4	57%	2.5y @22.5	03061	28.4
712	Jacob Kvasnicka	F	WHL	19	NYI*	25′ #202	1.31	32.2	25%	3.9y @22.9	0048	13.3
745	Artyom Matyuk	F	MHL	18.8	NYI*	26′ #173	0.72	10.7	30%	5.2y @24	0046	12.9
757	Vladimir Dravecky	D	OHL	18.7	NYI*	26′ #141	0.48	11.9	33%	4.3y @23	0044	12.7
815	Luca Romano	F	OHL	19.2	NYI*	25′ #74	0.6	14.8	28%	3.9y @23.1	0046	11.8
836	Xavier Veilleux	D	NCAA	20.4	NYI*	24′ #179	0.76	25.7	33%	2.4y @22.8	0031	11.6
860	Lincoln Kuehne	D	NCAA	18.7	NYI*	26′ #109	0.07	2.2	30%	4.2y @22.9	0029	11.3
961	Kamil Bednarik	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	24′ #61	0.46	15.4	17%	2.6y @22.8	0043	10.1
1169	Robert Cowan	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	26′ #205	0.62	20.7	15%	2.7y @22.9	0036	7.5
1324	Tomas Poletin	F	WHL	19.3	NYI*	25′ #106	0.81	20	17%	3.8y @23.1	0027	6.3
1482	Jesse Nurmi	F	OHL	21.5	NYI*	23′ #113	1.03	25.4	10%	1.5y @23	0020	4.8
1794	Sam Laurila	D	NCAA	20	NYI*	25′ #138	0.28	9.3	7%	5y @25	0015	3.1

Who each prospect looks like

76. Kashawn Aitcheson75% NHL · 2.3y

Tony DeAngelo 14′#19	65 pk	482 GP
Nils Lundkvist 18′#28	26 pk	235 GP
Juuso Välimäki 17′#16	36 pk	271 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP

140. Cole Eiserman57% NHL · 2.5y

Kieffer Bellows 16′#19	35 pk	114 GP
Ryan Hartman 13′#30	65 pk	725 GP
Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42	never stuck	61 GP
Emile Poirier 13′#22	never stuck	8 GP
Luke Kunin 16′#15	41 pk	496 GP

712. Jacob Kvasnicka25% NHL · 3.9y

Vinnie Hinostroza 12′#169	44 pk	477 GP
Anthony Duclair 13′#80	64 pk	669 GP
Mason Shaw 17′#97	never stuck	82 GP
Kevin Roy 12′#97	never stuck	28 GP
Gregory Chase 13′#188	never stuck	0 GP

745. Artyom Matyuk30% NHL · 5.2y

Matthew Deblouw 12′#186	never stuck	0 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP
Jesper Bratt 16′#162	89 pk	634 GP

757. Vladimir Dravecky33% NHL · 4.3y

Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP

815. Luca Romano28% NHL · 3.9y

Jonne Tammela 15′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Luke Johnson 13′#134	never stuck	32 GP
Joni Ikonen 17′#58	never stuck	0 GP
Shane Eiserman 14′#100	never stuck	0 GP

836. Xavier Veilleux33% NHL · 2.4y

Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Peter Diliberatore 18′#180	never stuck	0 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Chase Priskie 16′#177	never stuck	4 GP

860. Lincoln Kuehne30% NHL · 4.2y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP

961. Kamil Bednarik17% NHL · 2.6y

Keegan Iverson 14′#85	never stuck	0 GP
Pascal Laberge 16′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Kasper Bjorkqvist 16′#61	never stuck	6 GP
Alexey Lipanov 17′#76	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP

1169. Robert Cowan15% NHL · 2.7y

Aapeli Rasanen 16′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Lucas Elvenes 17′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Axel Holmstrom 14′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Travis Barron 16′#191	never stuck	0 GP
Brett Davis 17′#163	never stuck	0 GP

1324. Tomas Poletin17% NHL · 3.8y

Brian Pinho 13′#174	never stuck	2 GP
Jacob McGrew 17′#159	never stuck	0 GP
Brad Morrison 15′#113	never stuck	0 GP
John McCarron 12′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Toninato 12′#126	20 pk	197 GP

1482. Jesse Nurmi10% NHL · 1.5y

Damien Riat 16′#117	never stuck	0 GP
Jackson Houck 13′#94	never stuck	0 GP
Christopher Brown 14′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Austin Poganski 14′#110	never stuck	22 GP
Nikita Korostelev 15′#185	never stuck	0 GP