Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
72	Danny Nelson	F	NCAAPRO	21	NYI*	23′ #49	0.81	27.1	72%	1.9y @22.9	183361	31.7
140	Cole Eiserman	F	NCAA	20	NYI	24′ #20	0.88	29.4	57%	2.5y @22.5	03061	28.4
217	Quinn Finley	F	NCAAPRO	22	NYI*	22′ #78	0.89	30	57%	1.3y @23.3	02951	25.9
836	Xavier Veilleux	D	NCAA	20.4	NYI*	24′ #179	0.76	25.7	33%	2.4y @22.8	0031	11.6
860	Lincoln Kuehne	D	NCAA	18.7	NYI*	26′ #109	0.07	2.2	30%	4.2y @22.9	0029	11.3
961	Kamil Bednarik	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	24′ #61	0.46	15.4	17%	2.6y @22.8	0043	10.1
1101	Justin Gill	F	NCAAPRO	23.6	NYI*	23′ #145	0.97	32.7	12%	0.9y @24.5	0037	8.3
1169	Robert Cowan	F	NCAA	20.2	NYI*	26′ #205	0.62	20.7	15%	2.7y @22.9	0036	7.5
1699	Tomas Machu	D	NCAAPRO	23.5	NYI*	21′ #221	0.11	3.8	15%	2.4y @25.9	0020	3.5
1794	Sam Laurila	D	NCAA	20	NYI*	25′ #138	0.28	9.3	7%	5y @25	0015	3.1

Who each prospect looks like

72. Danny Nelson72% NHL · 1.9y

Tanner Pearson 12′#30	53 pk	778 GP
Filip Hallander 18′#58	never stuck	16 GP
Mitchell Stephens 15′#33	18 pk	123 GP
Artturi Lehkonen 13′#55	65 pk	660 GP
Eetu Luostarinen 17′#42	43 pk	447 GP

140. Cole Eiserman57% NHL · 2.5y

Kieffer Bellows 16′#19	35 pk	114 GP
Ryan Hartman 13′#30	65 pk	725 GP
Jonathan Dahlen 16′#42	never stuck	61 GP
Emile Poirier 13′#22	never stuck	8 GP
Luke Kunin 16′#15	41 pk	496 GP

217. Quinn Finley57% NHL · 1.3y

Connor Dewar 18′#92	32 pk	316 GP
Aleksi Saarela 15′#89	never stuck	9 GP
Nick Sorensen 13′#45	never stuck	5 GP
Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP
Jacob Peterson 17′#132	never stuck	83 GP

836. Xavier Veilleux33% NHL · 2.4y

Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Peter Diliberatore 18′#180	never stuck	0 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Chase Priskie 16′#177	never stuck	4 GP

860. Lincoln Kuehne30% NHL · 4.2y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP

961. Kamil Bednarik17% NHL · 2.6y

Keegan Iverson 14′#85	never stuck	0 GP
Pascal Laberge 16′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Kasper Bjorkqvist 16′#61	never stuck	6 GP
Alexey Lipanov 17′#76	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Slepyshev 13′#88	20 pk	102 GP

1101. Justin Gill12% NHL · 0.9y

Parker Foo 17′#144	never stuck	0 GP
Liam Kirk 18′#189	never stuck	0 GP
Glenn Gawdin 15′#116	never stuck	13 GP
Olle Lycksell 17′#168	never stuck	52 GP
Otto Somppi 16′#206	never stuck	0 GP

1169. Robert Cowan15% NHL · 2.7y

Aapeli Rasanen 16′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Lucas Elvenes 17′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Axel Holmstrom 14′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Travis Barron 16′#191	never stuck	0 GP
Brett Davis 17′#163	never stuck	0 GP

1699. Tomas Machu15% NHL · 2.4y

Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Chaz Reddekopp 15′#187	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP

1794. Sam Laurila7% NHL · 5y

Jocktan Chainey 17′#191	never stuck	0 GP
Clayton Phillips 17′#93	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Noah Carroll 16′#164	never stuck	0 GP
Dustyn McFaul 18′#181	never stuck	0 GP