Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
10	Kashawn Aitcheson	D	OHL	19.9	NYI*	25′ #17	1.25	30.8	75%	2.3y @22.2	142965	31.4
43	Malte Gustafsson	D	SHLPRO	18.2	NYI	26′ #13	0.11	5.4	60%	4.2y @22.4	112245	21.4
159	Vladimir Dravecky	D	OHL	18.7	NYI*	26′ #141	0.48	11.9	33%	4.3y @23	0044	12.7
167	Isaiah George	D	AHLPRO	22.5	NYI*	22′ #98	0.38	13.8	38%	2y @24.5	0727	12.3
189	Xavier Veilleux	D	NCAA	20.4	NYI*	24′ #179	0.76	25.7	33%	2.4y @22.8	0031	11.6
202	Lincoln Kuehne	D	NCAA	18.7	NYI*	26′ #109	0.07	2.2	30%	4.2y @22.9	0029	11.3
218	Jesse Pulkkinen	D	AHLPRO	21.6	NYI*	24′ #54	0.1	3.6	33%	1.2y @22.8	0429	11
370	Calle Odelius	D	AHLPRO	22.2	NYI*	22′ #65	0.15	5.4	25%	1.9y @24.1	0026	7.1
535	Tomas Machu	D	NCAAPRO	23.5	NYI*	21′ #221	0.11	3.8	15%	2.4y @25.9	0020	3.5
563	Sam Laurila	D	NCAA	20	NYI*	25′ #138	0.28	9.3	7%	5y @25	0015	3.1

Who each prospect looks like

10. Kashawn Aitcheson75% NHL · 2.3y

Tony DeAngelo 14′#19	65 pk	482 GP
Nils Lundkvist 18′#28	26 pk	235 GP
Juuso Välimäki 17′#16	36 pk	271 GP
Ryan Pulock 13′#15	42 pk	636 GP
Ryan Merkley 18′#21	never stuck	39 GP

43. Malte Gustafsson60% NHL · 4.2y

Hampus Lindholm 12′#6	54 pk	829 GP
Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18	27 pk	221 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Timothy Liljegren 17′#17	34 pk	311 GP

159. Vladimir Dravecky33% NHL · 4.3y

Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP

167. Isaiah George38% NHL · 2y

Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Linus Hogberg 16′#139	never stuck	5 GP
Jacob Bryson 17′#99	19 pk	304 GP

189. Xavier Veilleux33% NHL · 2.4y

Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Peter Diliberatore 18′#180	never stuck	0 GP
Mikey Anderson 17′#103	26 pk	425 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Chase Priskie 16′#177	never stuck	4 GP

202. Lincoln Kuehne30% NHL · 4.2y

Connor Clifton 13′#133	24 pk	434 GP
Michael Brodzinski 13′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP

218. Jesse Pulkkinen33% NHL · 1.2y

Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Dillon Fournier 12′#48	never stuck	0 GP
Matthew Spencer 15′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Lauzon 15′#52	16 pk	384 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

370. Calle Odelius25% NHL · 1.9y

Jake Walman 14′#82	52 pk	320 GP
Adam Ginning 18′#50	never stuck	16 GP
Dmitri Samorukov 17′#84	never stuck	3 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Roland McKeown 14′#50	never stuck	16 GP

535. Tomas Machu15% NHL · 2.4y

Dmitriy Zaitsev 16′#207	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Chaz Reddekopp 15′#187	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP

563. Sam Laurila7% NHL · 5y

Jocktan Chainey 17′#191	never stuck	0 GP
Clayton Phillips 17′#93	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Kannok-Leipert 18′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Noah Carroll 16′#164	never stuck	0 GP
Dustyn McFaul 18′#181	never stuck	0 GP