Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 | Anton Silayev | D | KHLPRO | 20.4 | NJD | 24′ #10 | 0.05 | 3.1 | 57% | 2.4y @22.8 | 101942 | 20 |
| 590 | Daniil Orlov | D | KHLPRO | 22.7 | NJD* | 22′ #110 | 0.42 | 26.8 | 40% | 1.4y @24.1 | 01341 | 15.6 |
Who each prospect looks like
401. Anton Silayev57% NHL · 2.4y
| Jakub Zboril 15′#13 | never stuck | 76 GP |
| Timothy Liljegren 17′#17 | 34 pk | 311 GP |
| Urho Vaakanainen 17′#18 | 27 pk | 221 GP |
| Hampus Lindholm 12′#6 | 54 pk | 829 GP |
| Haydn Fleury 14′#7 | 26 pk | 345 GP |
590. Daniil Orlov40% NHL · 1.4y
| Colin Miller 12′#151 | 41 pk | 590 GP |
| Veeti Vainio 15′#141 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Devon Toews 14′#108 | 71 pk | 541 GP |
| Christian Djoos 12′#195 | 25 pk | 155 GP |
| Brandon Montour 14′#55 | 75 pk | 665 GP |