Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Alexander Zharovsky | F | KHLPRO | 19.5 | MTL | 25′ #34 | 0.71 | 44.9 | 70% | 3.1y @22.6 | 183469 | 35.5 |
| 884 | Bogdan Konyushkov | D | KHLPRO | 23.7 | MTL* | 23′ #110 | 0.57 | 35.8 | 25% | now @23.9 | 0037 | 11 |
| 1832 | Daniil Sobolev | D | KHLPRO | 23.5 | MTL* | 21′ #142 | 0.08 | 4.9 | 10% | 2.6y @26.1 | 0010 | 2.7 |
Who each prospect looks like
36. Alexander Zharovsky70% NHL · 3.1y
| Jack Drury 18′#42 | 30 pk | 268 GP |
| Jakub Vrana 14′#13 | 62 pk | 406 GP |
| Jesper Boqvist 17′#36 | 34 pk | 387 GP |
| Pavel Buchnevich 13′#75 | 87 pk | 674 GP |
| Emil Bemstrom 17′#117 | 33 pk | 242 GP |
884. Bogdan Konyushkov25% NHL · 0.2y
| Christian Djoos 12′#195 | 25 pk | 155 GP |
| Vili Saarijarvi 15′#73 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Jakob Stenqvist 16′#176 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Victor Berglund 17′#195 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Devon Toews 14′#108 | 71 pk | 541 GP |
1832. Daniil Sobolev10% NHL · 2.6y
| Michael Brodzinski 13′#141 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Connor Clifton 13′#133 | 24 pk | 434 GP |
| Wyatte Wylie 18′#127 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Aleksi Makela 13′#182 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Dysin Mayo 14′#133 | never stuck | 85 GP |