Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
70	David Reinbacher	D	AHLPRO	21.8	MTL	23′ #5	0.42	15.2	53%	1y @22.8	01842	18.9
110	Brayden Klimpke	D	WHL	18.9	MTL*	26′ #117	0.69	17	40%	4.1y @23	0844	15.2
164	Adam Engström	D	AHLPRO	22.8	MTL	—	0.76	27.3	35%	1.4y @24.2	0037	12.6
170	Timofei Runtso	D	WHL	19.1	MTL*	26′ #57	0.65	15.9	38%	2.8y @21.9	0033	12.2
220	Bogdan Konyushkov	D	KHLPRO	23.7	MTL*	23′ #110	0.57	35.8	25%	now @23.9	0037	11
242	Jean-Samuel Daigneault	D	USHL	18.5	MTL*	26′ #221	0.11	2.1	28%	4.6y @23.1	0029	10.5
273	Rasmus Bergqvist	D	SHLPRO	21.2	MTL*	24′ #224	0.1	4.8	28%	2.9y @24.1	0026	9.8
314	Andrew MacNiel	D	OHL	19.1	MTL*	25′ #189	0.15	3.6	23%	3.9y @23	0029	8.7
369	Carlos Handel	D	LHJMQ	19.4	MTL*	25′ #177	0.5	11.5	20%	4.7y @24.1	0026	7.2
426	Luke Mittelstadt	D	NCAAPRO	23.6	MTL*	23′ #197	0.58	19.6	17%	1.3y @24.9	0026	6
450	Owen Protz	D	OHL	20.5	MTL*	24′ #102	0.36	8.8	15%	4.3y @24.8	0027	5.3
519	Dmitri Kostenko	D	SLOVAKIAPRO	23.9	MTL*	21′ #87	0.62	17.8	10%	1.3y @25.2	0017	3.8
529	Cooper Cleaves	D	NCAA	20.6	MTL*	26′ #93	0.33	11.2	12%	4.3y @24.9	0014	3.7
564	Maxon Vig	D	NCAA	20.8	MTL*	25′ #209	0.19	6.5	10%	3.1y @23.9	0011	3.1
565	William Trudeau	D	AHLPRO	23.9	MTL*	21′ #113	0.32	11.6	10%	2.2y @26.1	0015	3
573	Daniil Sobolev	D	KHLPRO	23.5	MTL*	21′ #142	0.08	4.9	10%	2.6y @26.1	0010	2.7

Who each prospect looks like

70. David Reinbacher53% NHL · 1y

Olli Juolevi 16′#5	never stuck	41 GP
Haydn Fleury 14′#7	26 pk	345 GP
Cal Foote 17′#14	14 pk	145 GP
Jakub Zboril 15′#13	never stuck	76 GP
Julius Honka 14′#14	never stuck	87 GP

110. Brayden Klimpke40% NHL · 4.1y

Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Ryan Pilon 15′#147	never stuck	0 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP
Will Butcher 13′#123	45 pk	275 GP
Brian Cooper 12′#127	never stuck	0 GP

164. Adam Engström35% NHL · 1.4y

Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Colin Miller 12′#151	41 pk	590 GP
Veeti Vainio 15′#141	never stuck	0 GP
Markus Nutivaara 15′#189	31 pk	275 GP
Devon Toews 14′#108	71 pk	541 GP

170. Timofei Runtso38% NHL · 2.8y

Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Brendan Guhle 15′#51	never stuck	65 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Olli Maatta 12′#22	55 pk	804 GP
Connor Carrick 12′#137	29 pk	242 GP

220. Bogdan Konyushkov25% NHL · 0.2y

Christian Djoos 12′#195	25 pk	155 GP
Vili Saarijarvi 15′#73	never stuck	0 GP
Jakob Stenqvist 16′#176	never stuck	0 GP
Victor Berglund 17′#195	never stuck	0 GP
Devon Toews 14′#108	71 pk	541 GP

242. Jean-Samuel Daigneault28% NHL · 4.6y

Steven Ruggiero 15′#178	never stuck	0 GP
Ville Rasanen 17′#197	never stuck	0 GP
Matt Grzelcyk 12′#85	44 pk	596 GP
Joakim Ryan 12′#198	16 pk	145 GP
Gage Ausmus 13′#151	never stuck	0 GP

273. Rasmus Bergqvist28% NHL · 2.9y

Simon Bourque 15′#177	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Ganly 13′#156	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Lindholm 14′#144	never stuck	66 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

314. Andrew MacNiel23% NHL · 3.9y

Teemu Kivihalme 13′#140	never stuck	0 GP
Ville Rasanen 17′#197	never stuck	0 GP
John Gilmour 13′#198	never stuck	37 GP
Matt Benning 12′#175	26 pk	465 GP
Jeff Taylor 14′#203	never stuck	0 GP

369. Carlos Handel20% NHL · 4.7y

Jeff Taylor 14′#203	never stuck	0 GP
Giovanni Vallati 18′#153	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Dennis Busby 18′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Jaccob Slavin 12′#120	44 pk	784 GP

426. Luke Mittelstadt17% NHL · 1.3y

Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Davies 16′#192	never stuck	23 GP
Zachary Leslie 13′#178	never stuck	0 GP
Dean Stewart 16′#188	never stuck	0 GP
Vojtech Budik 16′#130	never stuck	0 GP

450. Owen Protz15% NHL · 4.3y

Markus Phillips 17′#118	never stuck	0 GP
Robin Norell 13′#111	never stuck	0 GP
Jacob Golden 17′#147	never stuck	0 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP
Cole Candella 16′#140	never stuck	0 GP

519. Dmitri Kostenko10% NHL · 1.3y

Casey Fitzgerald 16′#86	never stuck	63 GP
Linus Nassen 16′#89	never stuck	0 GP
Vojtech Budik 16′#130	never stuck	0 GP
Toni Utunen 18′#130	never stuck	0 GP
Kasper Kotkansalo 17′#71	never stuck	0 GP