Prospect Rankings
Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.
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How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.
Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.
| # | Player | Pos | League | Age | Org | Draft | P/GP | NHLe | P(NHL) | ETA | Upside band | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | Adam Benak | F | OHL | 19.4 | MIN* | 25′ #102 | 1.6 | 39.5 | 55% | 2.7y @22.1 | 02973 | 31 |
| 494 | Kayden Lemire | F | WHL | 18.6 | MIN* | 26′ #112 | 0.43 | 10.5 | 40% | 4y @22.6 | 0047 | 17.8 |
| 1120 | Ryder Ritchie | F | NCAA | 20 | MIN* | 24′ #45 | 0.47 | 15.9 | 20% | 3y @23 | 0025 | 8.1 |
| 1712 | Carter Klippenstein | F | WHL | 19.7 | MIN* | 25′ #123 | 0.74 | 18.1 | 10% | 3.4y @23.1 | 0012 | 3.5 |
| 1921 | Lirim Amidovski | F | OHL | 19.7 | MIN* | 25′ #121 | 0.74 | 18.2 | 7% | 5.7y @25.4 | 000 | 1.9 |
Who each prospect looks like
83. Adam Benak55% NHL · 2.7y
| Justin Almeida 18′#129 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Anthony Duclair 13′#80 | 64 pk | 669 GP |
| Akil Thomas 18′#51 | never stuck | 32 GP |
| Kevin Labanc 14′#171 | 56 pk | 512 GP |
| Kevin Roy 12′#97 | never stuck | 28 GP |
494. Kayden Lemire40% NHL · 4y
| Shane Eiserman 14′#100 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Ivan Morozov 18′#61 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Matthew Deblouw 12′#186 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Thomas Di Pauli 12′#100 | never stuck | 2 GP |
| Hudson Fasching 13′#118 | 32 pk | 175 GP |
1120. Ryder Ritchie20% NHL · 3y
| Andrei Altybarmakian 17′#70 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexey Lipanov 17′#76 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Adrian Kempe 14′#29 | 80 pk | 711 GP |
| Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Kasper Bjorkqvist 16′#61 | never stuck | 6 GP |
1712. Carter Klippenstein10% NHL · 3.4y
| Alexander Delnov 12′#114 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Graham Black 12′#135 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165 | never stuck | 4 GP |
| Nate Smith 18′#91 | never stuck | 14 GP |
| Marián Studenic 17′#143 | never stuck | 46 GP |
1921. Lirim Amidovski7% NHL · 5.7y
| Matthew Bradley 15′#131 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Brad Morrison 15′#113 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Cristiano Digiacinto 14′#170 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Alexander Delnov 12′#114 | never stuck | 0 GP |
| Liam Kirk 18′#189 | never stuck | 0 GP |