Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
404	Hunter Haight	F	AHLPRO	22.4	MIN	22′ #47	0.59	21.4	50%	1.4y @23.8	01837	20
460	Riley Heidt	F	AHLPRO	21.4	MIN*	23′ #64	0.35	12.7	45%	1.4y @22.8	01555	18.7
709	Rasmus Kumpulainen	F	AHLPRO	21	MIN*	23′ #53	0.1	3.8	35%	1.9y @22.9	0046	13.3
1006	David Špaček	D	AHLPRO	23.5	MIN	—	0.61	22	25%	0.6y @24.1	0031	9.3
1143	Jack Peart	D	AHLPRO	23.3	MIN*	21′ #54	0.25	8.9	20%	1.5y @24.8	0027	7.6
1340	Carson Lambos	D	AHLPRO	23.6	MIN	21′ #26	0.27	9.8	12%	0.5y @24.1	0026	6.1
1907	Caedan Bankier	F	AHLPRO	23.6	MIN*	21′ #86	0.3	10.9	7%	0.6y @24.2	000	2
1916	Michael Milne	F	AHLPRO	23.9	MIN*	22′ #89	0.16	5.9	5%	1.5y @25.4	000	1.9

Who each prospect looks like

404. Hunter Haight50% NHL · 1.4y

Alexander Volkov 17′#48	never stuck	46 GP
Nicolas Aube-Kubel 14′#48	34 pk	310 GP
Martin Frk 12′#49	30 pk	124 GP
Nicolas Kerdiles 12′#36	never stuck	3 GP
Jansen Harkins 15′#47	20 pk	305 GP

460. Riley Heidt45% NHL · 1.4y

Vaclav Karabacek 14′#49	never stuck	0 GP
Carsen Twarynski 16′#82	never stuck	22 GP
Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Remi Elie 13′#40	16 pk	107 GP

709. Rasmus Kumpulainen35% NHL · 1.9y

Cliff Pu 16′#69	never stuck	0 GP
Alex Schoenborn 14′#72	never stuck	0 GP
Remi Elie 13′#40	16 pk	107 GP
Jesse Gabrielle 15′#105	never stuck	0 GP
Dominic Turgeon 14′#63	never stuck	9 GP

1006. David Špaček25% NHL · 0.6y

Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Davies 16′#192	never stuck	23 GP
Vladislav Gavrikov 15′#159	37 pk	517 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Chase Priskie 16′#177	never stuck	4 GP

1143. Jack Peart20% NHL · 1.5y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Jacob Ragnarsson 18′#70	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Niklas Hansson 13′#68	never stuck	0 GP

1340. Carson Lambos12% NHL · 0.5y

Filip Johansson 18′#24	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Filip Westerlund 17′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Jack Dougherty 14′#51	never stuck	0 GP

1907. Caedan Bankier7% NHL · 0.6y

Kyle Platzer 13′#96	never stuck	0 GP
Milos Roman 18′#122	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Karlsson 14′#87	never stuck	0 GP
Tanner Kaspick 16′#119	never stuck	0 GP
Alexander Delnov 12′#114	never stuck	0 GP

1916. Michael Milne5% NHL · 1.5y

Linus Lindstrom 16′#96	never stuck	0 GP
Milos Roman 18′#122	never stuck	0 GP
Tanner Kaspick 16′#119	never stuck	0 GP
Alexander Delnov 12′#114	never stuck	0 GP
Stelio Mattheos 17′#73	never stuck	0 GP