Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
108	Theodor Hallquisth	D	ALLSVENSKANPRO	19.2	MIN*	25′ #52	0.1	3.1	50%	3.4y @22.6	01631	15.3
116	Aron Kiviharju	D	LIIGAPRO	20.6	MIN*	24′ #122	0.35	15.7	45%	1.8y @22.4	01331	15
138	Justin Kipkie	D	NCAAPRO	21.1	MIN*	25′ #141	0.37	12.5	35%	1.6y @22.7	0743	13.7
163	Sebastian Soini	D	LIIGAPRO	20.2	MIN*	24′ #140	0.17	7.7	40%	2.2y @22.4	01029	12.7
255	Ryan Healey	D	NCAAPRO	22.3	MIN*	22′ #121	0.35	11.9	33%	2.7y @25	0026	10.1
271	Kalem Parker	D	NCAAPRO	21.9	MIN*	23′ #181	0.33	11.2	28%	2.7y @24.6	0026	9.8
281	David Špaček	D	AHLPRO	23.5	MIN	—	0.61	22	25%	0.6y @24.1	0031	9.3
354	Jack Peart	D	AHLPRO	23.3	MIN	21′ #54	0.25	8.9	20%	1.5y @24.8	0027	7.6
419	Carson Lambos	D	AHLPRO	23.6	MIN	21′ #26	0.27	9.8	12%	0.5y @24.1	0026	6.1
432	Viking Gustafsson Nyberg	D	NCAAPRO	22.9	MIN	—	0.29	9.7	17%	2y @24.9	0026	5.8
572	Aaron Pionk	D	NCAAPRO	23.6	MIN*	23′ #149	0.25	8.4	10%	2.5y @26.1	0010	2.7
592	Nate Benoit	D	NCAAPRO	23.7	MIN*	21′ #182	0.42	14.1	7%	2.1y @25.8	0010	2.3

Who each prospect looks like

108. Theodor Hallquisth50% NHL · 3.4y

Martin Fehérváry 18′#46	27 pk	380 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Gabriel Carlsson 15′#29	never stuck	81 GP
Alexander Romanov 18′#38	26 pk	369 GP
Adam Pelech 12′#65	29 pk	642 GP

116. Aron Kiviharju45% NHL · 1.8y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Gustav Forsling 14′#126	43 pk	557 GP
Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Sami Niku 15′#198	never stuck	67 GP
Christian Jaros 15′#139	never stuck	94 GP

138. Justin Kipkie35% NHL · 1.6y

Trevor Carrick 12′#115	never stuck	7 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Caleb Jones 15′#117	24 pk	255 GP
Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP

163. Sebastian Soini40% NHL · 2.2y

Cale Fleury 17′#87	11 pk	100 GP
Maxime Lajoie 16′#133	never stuck	77 GP
Jacob Cederholm 16′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Colton White 15′#97	14 pk	107 GP
Sebastian Walfridsson 17′#151	never stuck	0 GP

255. Ryan Healey33% NHL · 2.7y

Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Tarmo Reunanen 16′#98	never stuck	4 GP
Lucas Carlsson 16′#110	never stuck	73 GP
William Lagesson 14′#91	11 pk	107 GP
Reilly Walsh 17′#81	never stuck	1 GP

271. Kalem Parker28% NHL · 2.7y

Tim Berni 18′#159	never stuck	59 GP
Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Brandon Crawley 17′#123	never stuck	0 GP
Anton Cederholm 13′#145	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP

281. David Špaček25% NHL · 0.6y

Mikael Wikstrand 12′#196	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Davies 16′#192	never stuck	23 GP
Vladislav Gavrikov 15′#159	37 pk	517 GP
Brenden Kichton 13′#190	never stuck	0 GP
Chase Priskie 16′#177	never stuck	4 GP

354. Jack Peart20% NHL · 1.5y

Ty Emberson 18′#73	27 pk	178 GP
Jacob Ragnarsson 18′#70	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Niklas Hansson 13′#68	never stuck	0 GP

419. Carson Lambos12% NHL · 0.5y

Filip Johansson 18′#24	never stuck	0 GP
Jeremy Roy 15′#31	never stuck	0 GP
Filip Westerlund 17′#44	never stuck	0 GP
Jared McIsaac 18′#36	never stuck	0 GP
Jack Dougherty 14′#51	never stuck	0 GP

432. Viking Gustafsson Nyberg17% NHL · 2y

Dmitry Sinitsyn 12′#183	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Justin Hache 12′#208	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Tucker 18′#200	20 pk	159 GP
Niclas Almari 16′#151	never stuck	0 GP

572. Aaron Pionk10% NHL · 2.5y

Colby Williams 15′#173	never stuck	0 GP
Niclas Almari 16′#151	never stuck	0 GP
Sergei Boikov 15′#161	never stuck	0 GP
Gustav Bouramman 15′#201	never stuck	0 GP
Michael Prapavessis 14′#105	never stuck	0 GP

592. Nate Benoit7% NHL · 2.1y

Zachary Leslie 13′#178	never stuck	0 GP
Jake Bischoff 12′#185	never stuck	4 GP
Vojtech Budik 16′#130	never stuck	0 GP
Matt Roy 15′#194	29 pk	517 GP
Jesper Sellgren 18′#166	never stuck	0 GP