Prospect Rankings

Ranked by expected peak NHL production — not by junior points. Each prospect is matched to the players drafted 2012–2018 whose draft-stage profiles his most resembles, and carries what actually became of them: how many made it, when they arrived, and how good they got.

How this is built. Each prospect's draft-stage profile — league-adjusted scoring (NHLe), his age that season, goal share, pedigree — is matched against every player drafted 2012–2018, including the ones who never made it. What you see is what happened to his 40 closest matches: P(NHL) is the share who reached 100+ NHL games, ETA the median age they became regulars, and the band their 25th–90th percentile peak scoring pace. The rank itself is the mean peak pace across all matches, busts counted as zero — so a flashy profile whose comps washed out ranks below a steadier one whose comps stuck.

Two stages, matched separately: a junior is compared to other juniors; an AHL/pro prospect (the PRO tag) to players who were at the same stage — so a 22-year-old producing in the AHL isn't judged against 18-year-olds. Pool: 1324 drafted players (734 with a pro-stage season), 32% made the NHL — the base rate any prospect is measured against. Skaters only: there is no NHLe for a goalie.

#	Player	Pos	League	Age	Org	Draft	P/GP	NHLe	P(NHL)	ETA	Upside band	Score
439	Koehn Ziemmer	F	AHLPRO	21.7	LAK*	23′ #78	0.42	15.2	40%	1.1y @22.8	01258	19.1
946	Francesco Pinelli	F	AHLPRO	23.4	LAK*	21′ #42	0.54	19.4	28%	0.8y @24.2	0034	10.2
980	Angus Booth	D	AHLPRO	22.3	LAK*	22′ #116	0.3	10.6	33%	2.3y @24.6	0026	9.8
1028	Jakub Dvorak	D	AHLPRO	21.2	LAK*	23′ #54	0.16	5.6	35%	1.6y @22.8	0026	9.1
1103	Kenny Connors	F	AHLPRO	23.4	LAK*	22′ #103	0.63	22.8	15%	2.4y @25.8	0033	8.3
1131	Jack Hughes	F	AHLPRO	22.8	LAK*	22′ #51	0.3	10.8	20%	1y @23.8	0026	7.8
1328	Otto Salin	D	AHLPRO	22.5	LAK*	22′ #148	0.12	4.2	20%	3.3y @25.8	0022	6.2
1403	Jared Wright	F	AHLPRO	23.7	LAK*	22′ #169	0.56	20	12%	3.1y @26.8	0027	5.4
1630	Martin Chromiak	F	AHLPRO	24	LAK*	20′ #128	0.79	28.5	10%	1.1y @25.1	0021	3.9
1830	Kirill Kirsanov	D	AHLPRO	23.9	LAK*	21′ #84	0.19	6.9	10%	2.2y @26.1	0010	2.7

Who each prospect looks like

439. Koehn Ziemmer40% NHL · 1.1y

Scott Kosmachuk 12′#70	never stuck	8 GP
Allan McShane 18′#97	never stuck	0 GP
Fabian Zetterlund 17′#63	46 pk	329 GP
Carsen Twarynski 16′#82	never stuck	22 GP
Anthony Richard 15′#100	never stuck	40 GP

946. Francesco Pinelli28% NHL · 0.8y

Marcus Davidsson 17′#37	never stuck	0 GP
Pontus Aberg 12′#37	42 pk	132 GP
Teddy Blueger 12′#52	42 pk	453 GP
Jayce Hawryluk 14′#32	never stuck	98 GP
Yakov Trenin 15′#55	26 pk	457 GP

980. Angus Booth33% NHL · 2.3y

Jakub Galvas 17′#150	never stuck	6 GP
Mark Friedman 14′#86	never stuck	93 GP
Connor Hobbs 15′#143	never stuck	0 GP
Frederic Allard 16′#78	never stuck	4 GP
Filip Kral 18′#149	never stuck	2 GP

1028. Jakub Dvorak35% NHL · 1.6y

Jonas Siegenthaler 15′#57	22 pk	449 GP
Patrick Sieloff 12′#42	never stuck	2 GP
Gustav Lindstrom 17′#38	18 pk	174 GP
Blake Siebenaler 14′#77	never stuck	0 GP
Robert Hagg 13′#41	22 pk	345 GP

1103. Kenny Connors15% NHL · 2.4y

Adam Brooks 16′#92	never stuck	43 GP
Linus Karlsson 18′#87	36 pk	106 GP
Gustav Possler 13′#130	never stuck	0 GP
Ross Colton 16′#118	41 pk	404 GP
Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165	never stuck	4 GP

1131. Jack Hughes20% NHL · 1y

Marco Roy 13′#56	never stuck	0 GP
Jakub Lauko 18′#77	25 pk	139 GP
Graham Knott 15′#54	never stuck	0 GP
Kody Clark 18′#47	never stuck	0 GP
J.C. Beaudin 15′#71	never stuck	22 GP

1328. Otto Salin20% NHL · 3.3y

Ryan Culkin 12′#124	never stuck	0 GP
Dawson Barteaux 18′#168	never stuck	0 GP
Dylan Labbe 13′#107	never stuck	0 GP
Petter Hansson 15′#202	never stuck	0 GP
Antti Palojarvi 17′#186	never stuck	0 GP

1403. Jared Wright12% NHL · 3.1y

Lauri Pajuniemi 18′#132	never stuck	0 GP
Arnaud Durandeau 17′#165	never stuck	4 GP
Michael Eyssimont 16′#142	33 pk	269 GP
Linus Olund 17′#155	never stuck	0 GP
Tyler Moy 15′#175	never stuck	0 GP

1630. Martin Chromiak10% NHL · 1.1y

Parker Foo 17′#144	never stuck	0 GP
Carson Meyer 17′#179	never stuck	41 GP
Lucas Elvenes 17′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Adam Helewka 15′#106	never stuck	0 GP
Justin Schutz 18′#170	never stuck	0 GP

1830. Kirill Kirsanov10% NHL · 2.2y

Parker Wotherspoon 15′#112	31 pk	188 GP
Wyatte Wylie 18′#127	never stuck	0 GP
Nico Gross 18′#101	never stuck	0 GP
Dysin Mayo 14′#133	never stuck	85 GP
Oskari Laaksonen 17′#89	never stuck	0 GP